Quote:Has President Trump suckered Democrats and the Deep State into a trap that will enable a radical downsizing of the federal bureaucracy? In only five more days of the already "longest government shutdown in history" (25 days and counting, as of today), a heretofore obscure threshold will be reached, enabling permanent layoffs of bureaucrats furloughed 30 days or more.
Don't believe me that federal bureaucrats can be laid off? Well, in bureaucratese, a layoff is called a RIF – a Reduction in Force – and of course, it comes with a slew of civil service protections. But, if the guidelines are followed, bureaucrats can be laid off – as in no more job. It is all explained by Michael Roberts here (updated after the beginning of the partial shutdown):
A reduction in force is a thoughtful and systematic elimination of positions. For all practical purposes, a government RIF is the same thing as a layoff. ...
Organizations must stick to predetermined criteria when sorting out what happens to each employee. They must communicate with employees how and why decisions are made. ...
In deciding who stays and who goes, federal agencies must take four factors into account:
1. Tenure
2. Veteran status
3. Total federal civilian and military service
4. Performance
Agencies cannot use RIF procedures to fire bad employees.
Update: See also: OMB issues guidance on Reduction in Force layoffs due to partial shutdown
A lot of procedures must be followed, and merit ("performance") is the last consideration, but based on the criteria above, employees already furloughed can be laid off ("RIFed") once they have been furloughed for 30 days or 22 work days:
When agencies furlough employees for more than 30 calendar days or 22 discontinuous work days, they must use RIF procedures.
An employee can be terminated or moved into an available position[.]
This seems to be what was referenced in this remarkable essay written by an "unidentified senior Trump official" published in the Daily Caller, which vouches for the authenticity of the author and explains that it is protecting him from adverse career consequences should the name become known. I strongly recommend reading the whole thing.
The purported senior official makes the case that devotion to "process" eats up most of the time of federal bureaucrats and is also used by enemies of President Trump's initiatives to stymie the legitimate orders issued by his senior officials:
On an average day, roughly 15 percent of the employees around me are exceptional patriots serving their country. I wish I could give competitive salaries to them and no one else. But 80 percent feel no pressure to produce results. If they don't feel like doing what they are told, they don't.
Why would they? We can't fire them. They avoid attention, plan their weekend, schedule vacation, their second job, their next position – some do this in the same position for more than a decade.
They do nothing that warrants punishment and nothing of external value. That is their workday: errands for the sake of errands – administering, refining, following and collaborating on process. "Process is your friend" is what delusional civil servants tell themselves. Even senior officials must gain approval from every rank across their department, other agencies and work units for basic administrative chores.
Then the senior official notes what I have just called the "trap":
Most of my career colleagues actively work against the president's agenda. This means I typically spend about 15 percent of my time on the president's agenda and 85 percent of my time trying to stop sabotage, and we have no power to get rid of them. Until the shutdown.
Those officials who waste time and stymie the president's initiatives now are not present because they are not categorized as "essential."
Due to the lack of funding, many federal agencies are now operating more effectively from the top down on a fraction of their workforce, with only select essential personnel serving national security tasks. ...
President Trump can end this abuse. Senior officials can reprioritize during an extended shutdown, focus on valuable results and weed out the saboteurs. We do not want most employees to return, because we are working better without them.
Keep in mind that saboteurs cannot be individually identified and RIFed, but they can be included in the layoffs if they meet the criteria above in terms of seniority and service, and they must be given 60 days' notice. But once they are gone, they are no longer free to obstruct using the "process" as their friend, because they are gone.
You can expect lawsuits on every conceivable point, and I suspect that the definition of "furlough" will be one matter of dispute.
If this was the plan all along, it would explain why President Trump goaded Chuck and Nancy in his televised meeting with them last year, boasting that he would claim credit for the shutdown. How could they resist a prolonged shutdown when he made it so easy to blame him?
President Trump has proven that he is a "disruptor" who changes the framework of thinking on major issues by refusing to accept the "givens" – the assumptions of how things always have been done and therefore always must be done.
So who is the "senior official"? I don't know, but I think Stephen Miller is the sort of bold thinker who might volunteer to telegraph the strategy just five days before the deadline. Give Chuck and Nancy something to think about and probably reject as unthinkable. Then they can't complain that they weren't warned once the trap is sprung.
Such a mass RIF would be the Trump version of Ronald Reagan firing the air traffic controllers when they went on an illegal strike in 1981. That was completely unexpected by his enemies, vehemently criticized, and successful.
Among other benefits, it taught the leaders of the USSR that Ronald Reagan was a man whose threats cannot be dismissed as mere rhetoric. If you think that Xi Jinping, Kim Jong-un, Angela Merkel, and any other foreign leaders would not draw the same conclusion from a massive RIF, then you are kidding yourself.
My theory may be completely wrong, but I pray that it is not.

Quote:US spies have had backchannel communication with North Korean spies for over a decade. Obama era-spies are trying to claim they opened communications with North Korean spies to try and defuse tensions and create peace. Yet the Norks held our hostages until Trump came on the scene, and North Korea wasn’t suddenly desirous of good relations until something happened behind the scenes. This is Cabal-CIA officials looking to produce a cover story for why they were involved in North Korea when it ostensibly was a hostile foreign actor.
Quote:WASHINGTON—U.S. intelligence officials have met with North Korean counterparts secretly for a decade, a covert channel that allowed communications during tense times, aided in the release of detainees and helped pave the way for President Trump’s historic summit last year with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
(01-23-2019 06:30 PM)Mr. Accuride Wrote: ...my main operating theory is that Trump is assuming that he is not getting re-elected due to an impending stock market crisis that should happen over the next few months, which is why he is going all in hard right now. If he isn't going to get re-elected, he might as well force everything he wants through.
This is a theory, but if this turns out to be correct, oh boy. Will we see an 80% reduction in Federal agencies?
(01-23-2019 06:40 AM)Spectrumwalker Wrote:(01-22-2019 11:49 PM)BostonBMW Wrote: . With all this talk about he's authoritarian/literally Hitler, I almost wish we were in a right wing fascist state.
The answer to 1917 is 1973.
(01-23-2019 09:38 AM)Gmac Wrote: Not the ideal outcome and what I'm about to say will sound like heresy, but I'd even be OK with green cards to clean the slate for the bigger picture to work out - it's not like those DACA recipients are going anywhere.
I don't see mass deportation happening, it will never be popular enough to work even on winning over the right. I think your average American would support it in the end too. Kushner actually has his pulse on things, whereas much of the internet warriors are on the fringe.
Could care less what Coulter thinks. Pipe dream lady with a childish arguments. The adults gotta make a deal at some point. My 2c.
Quote:According to the Pew Research Center, the average age of the current DACA participants is 24. Two thirds are 25 or younger.
Most (83 percent) were unmarried at the time of their most recent application. Nearly half (45 percent) of them live in California (29 percent) and Texas (16 percent). Illinois (5 percent), New York (5 percent), Florida (4 percent) and Arizona (4 percent) also have significant populations of active DACA recipients.
Source: https://thehill.com/opinion/immigration/...s-a-primer
Quote:A Democrat in the White House has “discretion” to completely decide every aspect of immigration policy. A Republican doesn’t even have the “discretion” to reverse him.
[...]
Under Obama, states weren’t allowed to enforce immigration laws. That was the job of the Federal government. And the states weren’t allowed to interfere with the job that the Feds weren’t doing.
Okay.
Now Trump comes into office and starts enforcing immigration laws again. And California announces it’s a sanctuary state and passes a law punishing businesses that cooperate with Federal immigration enforcement.
So what do we have here?
It’s illegal for states to enforce immigration law because that’s the province of the Federal government. But it’s legal for states to ban the Federal government from enforcing immigration law.
The only consistent pattern here is that the left decided to make it illegal to enforce immigration law.
[...]
But that revolution was met with a counterrevolution by the left. The left wants a monarchy. It wants King Obama or Queen Oprah.
It wants to end government of the people, by the people and for the people. That’s what they’re fighting for. That’s what we’re fighting against. The stakes are as big as they’re ever going to get. Do elections matter anymore?
I live in the state of Ronald Reagan. I can go visit the Ronald Reagan Library any time I want to. But today California has one party elections. There are lots of elections and propositions. There’s all the theater of democracy, but none of the substance. Its political system is as free and open as the Soviet Union.
And that can be America.
The Trump years are going to decide if America survives. When his time in office is done, we’re either going to be California or a free nation once again.
The civil war is out in the open now and we need to fight the good fight. And we must fight to win.
Source: http://sultanknish.blogspot.com/2018/01/...a-tea.html (worth reading the whole thing by the way)
(01-24-2019 01:16 AM)The Black Knight Wrote: Plan 2
1. Declare a national emergency or limited Martial Law and build the wall. I've explained before that Trump has valid Constitutional authority to declare Martial Law given the circumstances of a massive amount of unchecked foreign invaders present in the country already; with many continuing to come in with no end in sight. Furthermore, you have multiple states enabling this behavior (i.e. rebelling against the Union) via sanctuary laws and refusing to cooperate with the federal government.
I rather Trump go scorched-earth now while we still have some leverage and he is in office as oppose to a decade from now when we don't have the White House and the demographics are significantly worse off. Anti-white/anti-male/anti-MAGA hate is off the charts already and OUR guy is in charge. Imagine when he is gone and what these psychos will do with unchecked power towards us? Better take care of the problem now, harsh as it may take... or we will be paying a bigger price later on.
2. Open gov't and proceed to deal from there.
Bottom line:
We are running out of time. Period. And the deck is stacked against us plenty enough already.
We maybe have two years left of Trump and after all the voter fraud, lies, MSM hate, conservative de-humanization, unacknowledged violence towards MAGA people, violence against conservatives in general, career discrimination, witch hunts, false prosecutions, Mueller non-sense, campaign spying, traitorous cucks like Paul Ryan... and WE should cut the democrats a fucking break?
We need to crush the democrats. Not negotiate. They have lost the plot completely and are an enemy of the state.
So the time has come to go for the full monty and break their goddamn backs like they damn well deserve. Burn the house down (as in, the whole system) if necessary. Lord knows, they have had it coming for a LONG time.
Quote:America was founded on getting away from professional government.
Quote:You know, the people who always say they know better, no matter how many times they screw up, because they’re the professionals. They’ve been in Washington D.C. politics since they were in diapers.
Quote:Power belongs to the people.
Quote:What infuriates professional government more than anything else? An amateur, someone like President Trump who didn’t spend his entire adult life practicing to be president, taking over the job.
Quote:A perfect article that describes exactly what is happening. I've always called it the DC Cartel. What surprises is me is that most people don't know or care what's going on. Anyone who works should never vote Democrat again after they tried to tell workers that getting more take home money is bad for them. The Left thinks people are mere gerbils. Boy, were they wrong. You hit the problem right on the head with a big hammer. We can either be Venezuela or America. Sadly, I think it's going to take a shooting war to decide the issue.
Quote:If TX goes blue the GOB will have to shift to the left and conservatism is finished. I am not sure it means we have a single party system, but it will mean we have a choice between two leftist parties.
The immigration debate is the single biggest issue. Democrats have turn the democratic process on its head. Instead of Americans deciding who our representatives are. They are choosing who Americans are. They are literally replacing the citizens of this country with illiberal Latin Americans and Arabs.
Quote:Trump is going to have to take the lead here. It can't be by Tweets. Trump is going to have to get out in front of the cameras and call the Left out. I'm not even sure if Pence is on our side here. He's more of a creature of the professional class himself. But we can win if we start organizing and working together effectively. That takes leadership. There is only one person big enough to fill that role.
(01-24-2019 01:16 AM)The Black Knight Wrote: Bottom line:
We are running out of time. Period. And the deck is stacked against us plenty enough already.
We maybe have two years left of Trump and after all the voter fraud, lies, MSM hate, conservative de-humanization, unacknowledged violence towards MAGA people, violence against conservatives in general, career discrimination, witch hunts, false prosecutions, Mueller non-sense, campaign spying, traitorous cucks like Paul Ryan... and WE should cut the democrats a fucking break?
We need to crush the democrats. Not negotiate. They have lost the plot completely and are an enemy of the state.
So the time has come to go for the full monty and break their goddamn backs like they damn well deserve. Burn the house down (as in, the whole system) if necessary. Lord knows, they have had it coming for a LONG time.
