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Eastside · 2016-02-21 00:33:00 · #14079
One thing that Jeb dropping out does do is prove that there was never a conspiracy to have a bunch of establishment candidates plod along in the race and rack up small amounts of delegates to try and take enough away from Trump that they can beat him at the nomination.
str8_thggn · 2016-02-21 00:46:00 · #14080
New episode of You Can't Stump the Trump
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDkxJu8WiE4
Deepdiver · 2016-02-21 00:47:00 · #14081
This is the Marcobot's Achilles heel that Trump needs to focus on now especially in the SEC Border States:

ICE Officers BETRAYED by Senator Marco Rubio:

What follows below are the complete, unedited responses of National ICE Council President Chris Crane.

BREITBART NEWS: It is well known that the Gang of Eight reached out to big business groups and amnesty groups in the process of writing the bill. When Sen. Rubio started writing his bill, did he reach out to you and other ICE officers for your ideas and input?

CRANE: Sen. Rubio never reached out to us. He surrounded himself with big business and amnesty groups, most of which were more interested in cheap labor and their own political agendas, and had no real concern for the welfare of immigrants, public safety, or the security of our nation. This while he ignored boots on the ground law enforcement officers who work within our broken immigration system every day and know better than any what’s needed to fix it. Common sense dictates that law enforcement be at the table when creating a bill like this. I think Sen. Rubio knew that, but actively chose to exclude us because of his own personal agenda.

More at:

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/...-betrayed/

D2: Bottom line Marcobot is the La Raza pro amnestia candidate as well as the Elite Cuck's cheap labor candidate. I stand by my analysis that Marco is as soft as a grape on illegal immigration and amnesty - he talks a good line but is nearly as much an open borders cuck as Hilliary's benefactor George Soros.
Prince of Persia · 2016-02-21 01:00:00 · #14082
I'm surprised that the Krispy attacks didn't cause more harm to Rubio. I would've guessed that he'd be falling fast by this point...
Emancipator · 2016-02-21 01:03:00 · #14083
RIP Guac Bowl Merchant, thanks for all the memes
[Image: P18JmRH.gif]
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Liberty Sea · 2016-02-21 01:06:00 · #14084
[Image: Z743YME.png]
Last Parade · 2016-02-21 01:28:00 · #14085
I had a momentary panic that the frequent "proportional" primaries would result in Trump not having a majority at the convention and losing due to backroom shenanigans. So I tried to model out the rest of the primary season using relatively conservative predictions:

-Trump gets 33% per state, moving up to 35% after March 8, the only exception being New York (50%+ in every district - more on this later) and Texas (25%)
-Trump would get absolutely none of the unbound delegates
-Trump would not get any of the 3 "RNC" delegates assigned to each state and territory (assuming they're party hacks)
-Where delegates are allocated at the district level on a non-majority top 2 basis, Trump gets 2 per district; at top 3, Trump gets 1 per district (exception: Texas where, again being conservative, Trump only gets 1 out of 3 delegates per district assuming Cruz gets the vote plurality in each district)

So this is all rough and dirty but even with these relatively conservative estimates, Trump still ends up with 1,299 which is more than the 50% + 1 number (1,236)

The real meat of the contest begins March 15; from there and afterwards, these are the crucial states:

-Florida, March 15, winner take all for 96 district and at-large delegates
-Ohio, March 15, winner take all for 63 district and at-large delegates
-Arizona, March 22, winner take all for 55 district and at-large delegates
-New York, April 19, winner take all for 92 district and at-large delegates IF vote is over 50% at state level (and this is Trump's home state)
-California, June 7 (the last day), 53 districts with 3 delegates each and winner-take-all per district; if you win all the districts and the state that's 169 total

The question is whether Trump can win in Florida with Rubio & no Bush in the race (polls are promising?) and if Trump can win over Kasich in Ohio (especially with Rubio holding him back, maybe?)

It could come down to California on the last primary day; the question is, does Cruz drop out at some point if he's consistently 3rd place, or does he stick around in the hopes of using his delegates to buy himself a high-level position in an eventual Rubio administration via a brokered convention? If Cruz dropped out after March 15 it would be a huge relief, I think.

...yeah I need to go to sleep.


   
Paracelsus · 2016-02-21 01:32:00 · #14086
(02-21-2016 01:06 AM)Liberty Sea Wrote:  [Image: Z743YME.png]

Five seconds prior:

[Image: pimpslapplural.gif]
GlobalMan · 2016-02-21 01:54:00 · #14087
(02-21-2016 12:33 AM)Eastside Wrote:  One thing that Jeb dropping out does do is prove that there was never a conspiracy to have a bunch of establishment candidates plod along in the race and rack up small amounts of delegates to try and take enough away from Trump that they can beat him at the nomination.

It's far too early to say. It's just Jeb as of now. Also, Jebs votes will just go to another establishment candidate, so the super PACs etc still get the votes they want and they also get to stop throwing money down the drain.

This issue is still very much real. They will be fighting Trump until the bitter end.

This sums it up:

[Image: R4jOyzs.png]
Troutslayer · 2016-02-21 02:08:00 · #14088
Invoking rule 40B at the convention would be suicide for the GOPe. They'd finally be exposed as the kiniving traitors they truly are. Trump's supporters would all stay home for the general election, plus a good amount of voters who would've voted any R ticket but will be too disgusted.

TL;DR, invoking Rule 40 B would hand Shillery the election. But maybe that's what they've wanted all along....
mickeyd · 2016-02-21 02:10:00 · #14089
Quote:The question is whether Trump can win in Florida with Rubio & no Bush in the race (polls are promising?) and if Trump can win over Kasich in Ohio (especially with Rubio holding him back, maybe?)

Not sure about the other big states, but I and others have stated as well as the polls that Trump will win Florida guaranteed. He's polling at 40%, Bush is out, Rubio is actually not the favorite here because of hispandering, bad immigration stance (all the good, responsible latinos are moving away from the ever increasing latin ghettos and are tired of it expanding), and all the new faults in Rubio coming to light that wasn't covered in his senate run.
GlobalMan · 2016-02-21 02:13:00 · #14090
(02-21-2016 02:08 AM)Troutslayer Wrote:  invoking Rule 40 B would hand Shillery the election. But maybe that's what they've wanted all along....

Actually, the article I posted goes on to say exactly that- The GOP establishment would rather Hillary win, because they can make deals with her, she can be bought. Trump can't be bought. The whole point of the strategy is to blow it up if it looks like Trump might win.
porscheguy · 2016-02-21 03:18:00 · #14091
(02-21-2016 02:13 AM)GlobalMan Wrote:  
(02-21-2016 02:08 AM)Troutslayer Wrote:  invoking Rule 40 B would hand Shillery the election. But maybe that's what they've wanted all along....

Actually, the article I posted goes on to say exactly that- The GOP establishment would rather Hillary win, because they can make deals with her, she can be bought. Trump can't be bought. The whole point of the strategy is to blow it up if it looks like Trump might win.
The problem with the strategy is that on the democrat side, similar deviant shenanigans are happening as well. The Clinton campaign have been working overtime to alienate voters who don't support her.

It highlights the fact that the rotted and corrupt establishment are scared and desperate to maintain their grasp on power. The result is that this is turning into a race to the bottom. "Let's see how many people we can piss off so they don't show up to the polls in November."
Latinopan · 2016-02-21 03:30:00 · #14092
And then he wonders why he loses.


Quote:Tonight I'm going to sleep with the best friend I have

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-...z40mzkbt6C

[Image: 32169526-5177-177210.jpg]

Fuckthat
Liberty Sea · 2016-02-21 04:04:00 · #14093
Cruz is attacking Trump's neutrality to Israel:
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/208325
Quote:“As president, America will stand unapologetically with the nation of Israel – if I am president – because I am not neutral between terrorists who are blowing up and murdering women and children, and the people of Israel who are trying to defend their nation,” Cruz told Fox News.

“This week, Donald Trump said on a TV program that he would be neutral between Israel and the Palestinians,” he told the audience. “I am not neutral between murderers and the innocent citizens murderers are targeting. I am not neutral at home or abroad between radical Islamic terrorists and the targets of their terror.”

Cruz went on to assert a moral imperative to supporting Israel. “There is a difference between right and wrong. There is a difference between terrorists who strap [bombs with] nails around their chests and go into a mall to murder women and children and the armed forces protecting the innocents in Israel.”

He won't be the only one. But he seized it fast.
cibo · 2016-02-21 04:12:00 · #14094




New Can't Stump the Trump.

He uses the suicide song from the Evangelion Movie which fits perfectly.
kenny_g · 2016-02-21 04:15:00 · #14095
BBC Russia reporting on Yeb's suspension:

http://www.bbc.com/russian/news/2016/02/...h_suspends

They mistakenly refer to him as a former Florida senator instead of a former Florida governor. His irrelevance knows no borders, no language.
WhatTheFuck · 2016-02-21 04:34:00 · #14096
Family dinners for Jeb Bush just became really uncomfortable. Jeb is gonna have to sit at the 'never been president' table.
GlobalMan · 2016-02-21 04:43:00 · #14097
^It's alright, Jeb likes hanging out with his mom.
Guriko · 2016-02-21 04:49:00 · #14098
(02-21-2016 02:13 AM)GlobalMan Wrote:  
(02-21-2016 02:08 AM)Troutslayer Wrote:  invoking Rule 40 B would hand Shillery the election. But maybe that's what they've wanted all along....

Actually, the article I posted goes on to say exactly that- The GOP establishment would rather Hillary win, because they can make deals with her, she can be bought. Trump can't be bought. The whole point of the strategy is to blow it up if it looks like Trump might win.

I'm an European so please take my opinion with a grain of salt as I've obtained the majority of knowledge about the American voting process right through this thread.

If the establishment screws over Trump via backdoor shenanigans I'm thinking they will be dealing with a civil revolt in the upcoming months/years. Trumps momentum is just too h(y)uge.

It would be a reprisal of the Tunisian man who set himself on fire because of the corrupted government. Things didn't go as the establishment planned, to put it mildly.

The keg is full of powder and is waiting to be ignited.
GlobalMan · 2016-02-21 05:01:00 · #14099
(02-21-2016 04:49 AM)Guriko Wrote:  If the establishment screws over Trump via backdoor shenanigans I'm thinking they will be dealing with a civil revolt in the upcoming months/years.

Agreed. Hopefully it doesn't come to that, but if it does then I welcome it.
YossariansRight · 2016-02-21 05:20:00 · #14100
The cherry on top of the cake of Trump's SC win would be a mass suicide wave of Cruz supporters. They are nouthbreathers that just take up space and use up resources. They shouldn't be here to populate the country with more useless fucktards.
aphelion · 2016-02-21 19:41:00 · #14176
(02-21-2016 02:32 PM)Dusty Wrote:  The neocon cuck National Review front page today:



Who won last light?

Unbelievable, he didn't even win a single delegate and the National Review is shilling hard. He 'clinched second'!

In this case, 2nd place really is the 1st loser.
Dusty · 2016-02-21 19:50:00 · #14177
(02-21-2016 07:41 PM)aphelion Wrote:  
(02-21-2016 02:32 PM)Dusty Wrote:  The neocon cuck National Review front page today:



Who won last light?

Unbelievable, he didn't even win a single delegate and the National Review is shilling hard. He 'clinched second'!

In this case, 2nd place really is the 1st loser.

National Review and Rubio are being slaughtered in the comments section. Laugh


Quote:So let me get this straight. Rubio placed 3rd in IA, 5th in NH, 2nd place virtual-tie in SC, and he's the "winner" because he got endorsements? What kind of fantasy world is the author living in?

Quote:The fantasy world where Marco Rubio is something other than an empty suit who was an architect of the Gang of 8 abomination. The desperation to find someone anyone other than Trump has reached truly pathetic levels.

It is time to unite behind our nominee, Donald Trump, eviscerate Hillary Clinton, and make America Great Again.

Quote:I am not easily moved to hatred generally, but I state categorically that I hate and despise Marco Rubio. The man is a lying snake, personally. I will never vote for a lying amnesty lover and Due-Process denier for male collegians. He is no different in kind than Hillary Clinton, only in degree

Quote:Agreed. The way Rubio got second is that South Carolina is an open primary. The fact he had all those endorsements and still couldn't beat The Donald is a sign of his weakness as a candidate.

Let's say it comes down to Trump and Rubio. All Trump has to do on stage is say, "You're for Amnesty and I am going to build this YUGE beautiful wall that Mexico is going to pay for."

And it will be over.

Quote:This is simply beyond parody. Trump wins SC by 10 points and what's the big headline on the National Review? "How Marco Rubio Won Nikki Haley’s Endorsement, and Clinched Second in South Carolina." : ) LOL
I DIDN'T KILL MY WIFE · 2016-02-21 19:52:00 · #14178
Rubio has had a MASSIVE SURGE into second place to win 0 delegates! Absolute madman winner
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