Trump well exceed his delegate target, even without counting any delegate in Hawaii. He needs a cumulative total of 433 at this point, and now he has 446, not counting the not-yet-distributed ones in Hawaii.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/elec...publicans/

As the only one who has cleared his target, he will probably wrap up the nomination comfortably, barring some unforeseeable disaster.

(03-09-2016 06:25 AM)Liberty Sea Wrote:  As the only one who has cleared his target, he will probably wrap up the nomination comfortably, barring some unforeseeable disaster.

Quite honestly if Trump doesn't win because of sketchy shenanigans happening then i'll know for sure democracy is completely dead in the U.S.

Then everyone should not just be very concerned but outraged.

(03-09-2016 06:25 AM)Liberty Sea Wrote:  As the only one who has cleared his target, he will probably wrap up the nomination comfortably, barring some unforeseeable disaster.

He's doing OK, but the "unforeseeable" disaster is not to win Florida next Tuesday with its 99 winner-take-all delegates. If that happens, and particularly if Ohio goes to someone else as well, all bets are off.

Quote: Trump well exceed his delegate target, even without counting any delegate in Hawaii. He needs a cumulative total of 433 at this point, and now he has 446, not counting the not-yet-distributed ones in Hawaii.

He needs to win close to 270 on March 15. Florida and Ohio are 165 ( if he wins Ohio ).

(03-09-2016 07:04 AM)RawGod Wrote:  

(03-09-2016 06:25 AM)Liberty Sea Wrote:  As the only one who has cleared his target, he will probably wrap up the nomination comfortably, barring some unforeseeable disaster.

He's doing OK, but the "unforeseeable" disaster is not to win Florida next Tuesday with its 99 winner-take-all delegates. If that happens, and particularly if Ohio goes to someone else as well, all bets are off.

Ohio, Missouri and Illinois are all open primaries. Advantage Trump.

NC is proportional and open and went for Romney in 2012. Could benefit Rubio

Florida is closed. Advantage Cruz.

Now's time for the killer blow. Put these cucks out of their misery.

   

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I keep checking the channel for a new cant stump the trump vid, and after all these happenings there's still nothing new. There's gotta be an amazing one in the chamber.

(03-09-2016 07:05 AM)CostinR Wrote:  

Quote: Trump well exceed his delegate target, even without counting any delegate in Hawaii. He needs a cumulative total of 433 at this point, and now he has 446, not counting the not-yet-distributed ones in Hawaii.

He needs to win close to 270 on March 15. Florida and Ohio are 165 ( if he wins Ohio ).

That's if his pre-March 15 total delegates are 443. His current cumulative total is 458 (Hawaii delegates just got distributed), may get to 460. Assuming he gets a third of the next two contests (about 15 delegates), he will have around 475. Assuming he wins both Florida and Ohio, he will only need to to win about 75 delegates more from the 193 delegates of the other three primaries in March 15. Seems very probable to me.

Unless Kasich and Rubio both drop out and endorse Cruz + Cruz announces Rubio to be his VP, which is unlikely, I think he will probably win big in March 15, provided there is no shenanigans.

Quote: Assuming he gets a third of the next two contests (about 15 delegates)

One of those two has unbound delegates so it's irrelevant there. He might win Virgin Islands with it's 9 delegates Winner Take All.

(03-09-2016 07:40 AM)iop890 Wrote:  

Incredible. I'm starting to wonder if I'm ok, because that left tears in my eyes.

I'd spread that on social media if I was in America and I didn't have so many Mexican family members and friends who would disown me for it without watching it.

I think it's important to remember that even if Trump doesn't go all the way, he's made a massive difference just with this campaign.

(03-09-2016 05:10 AM)Fast Eddie Wrote:  snip

I stand by what I said.

They have the institutions on their side, but as for their constitutions of character, as men, they are weak, vacillating cunts. They would be nothing without their networks. And by any objective measure, he has been wrong on everything he has said.

Of course, objectivity means shit in persuasion, as Trump is also showing. He is a master of power, there's no doubt about that.

At any rate, excellent night last night. Idaho was expected, so I'm not surprised.

Hawaii was a blowout. You know what's really interesting though? Hawaii is probably one of the wealthiest states in the nation. According to Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawaii) it's ranked 5th in median household income. It's also full of wealthy retirees.

So much for both "the ceiling" and "the poor and poorly educated."

Great results yesterday for Trump.

Next election day is March 15th with six states voting. To understand what's going on I have made an overview of the states, delegates, and rules. Correct me if I'm wrong.

52 delegates: Missouri (MO) WTA semi-closed primary
66 delegates: Ohio (OH) WTA semi-closed primary
72 delegates: North Carolina (NC) Proportional semi-closed primary
69 delegates: Illinois (IL) WTA/Direct Election open primary
99 delegates: Florida (FL) WTA closed primary
09 delegates: Northern Mariana Islands (MP) WTA closed caucus

In total these six states account for 367 delegates, 226 delegates from the four winner-takes-all (WTA) states. Illinois has a system where some delegates are awarded via WTA rules and the majority via direct election, whatever that may be. North Carolina's delegates are awarded proportionally.

Trump is currently leading everywhere, but not by much (especially considering ballot stuffing and other fraud) so let's hope he finally has a great debate again tomorrow.

(03-09-2016 08:21 AM)Libertas Wrote:  

(03-09-2016 05:10 AM)Fast Eddie Wrote:  snip

I stand by what I said.

They have the institutions on their side, but as for their constitutions of character, as men, they are weak, vacillating cunts. They would be nothing without their networks. And by any objective measure, he has been wrong on everything he has said.

Of course, objectivity means shit in persuasion, as Trump is also showing. He is a master of power, there's no doubt about that.

I guess we just have different opinions of what "weak" means. It's fine to say without this or that, they're weak. Without being the leader of China, Xi Jinping would just be a short, rotund, jolly little man, but he is the leader of China, so he's powerful.

Bill Kristol has been wrong on everything he's ever said in the same way a cunning used-car salesman is wrong about every car he's ever sold. He's not saying things to be right, but to attain an objective. When we buy a lemon from a used-car salesman, we don't go around with a sneer of contempt on our face about how stupid and naive the salesman was for thinking it was such a great car

(03-09-2016 08:18 AM)CostinR Wrote:  

Quote: Assuming he gets a third of the next two contests (about 15 delegates)

One of those two has unbound delegates so it's irrelevant there. He might win Virgin Islands with it's 9 delegates Winner Take All.

Supposing he falls short of the delegate target in March 15, it won't be by much. Pretty remediable if he wins Florida and Ohio. The momentum will be tremendous. It'll be surprising if he wins both Florida and Ohio and fails to get the nomination.

I've posted this before but it warrants reposting.

Over a million views now.

Another repost that broke a million views recently:

(03-09-2016 08:18 AM)CostinR Wrote:  

Quote: Assuming he gets a third of the next two contests (about 15 delegates)

One of those two has unbound delegates so it's irrelevant there.

Only 3 unbound delegates out of 29 delegates. It's the unbound delegates that are irrelevant there. He can easily get a third of the rest (the bound delegates).

(03-08-2016 11:55 PM)Emancipator Wrote:  While playing around I still get a Republican victory with:
Decreasing black voter turn out (They came out in droves for Obama), increased Dem support and turn out for Hispanics (media blablabla racism blablabla BECAUSE ITS CURRENT YEAR) and not even touching Asians and college educated whites

Trump should do better than expected with the Hispanic vote.

His declaration about being a strong defender of Christianity will be a big drawcard.

Actual footage of Trump's encounter with RNC:

Can't wait for the NYC rally

NYC rally? Got info?

(03-09-2016 12:09 AM)Canopus Wrote:  Man, it seriously just hit me.

Dude basically gets painted as a goddamn Klansman for weeks, has a deposition "debate" where they do everything short of siccing Perfect Cell on his ass, a headline comes out about him triggering, yeah, triggering scores of psychiatric patients into anxiety disorders...

And then he just runs the fuck off with Michigan and Mississippi right out of the gate.

This fucking guy.

Nerdy as hell, but since you brought up the Perfect Cell thing I have a request.

Can someone with better editing skills than I possess take a gif with SS2 Gohan destroying the Cell juniors and replace Gohan's head with Trump and the Cell Juniors' heads with the remaining candidates (including Bernie and Hillary)?

^^Don't forget the media outlets also.

Also do one of Donald Trump as Gohan punching Cell once and superimpose something that represents the entire globalist establishment.