The Bern didn't do as well yesterday with white voters. The vile mobs in Chicago and St. Louie hurt him. Playing into the BLM wing-nuts is finally catching up with him.

(03-16-2016 09:07 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  

(03-16-2016 08:46 AM)username Wrote:  

(03-16-2016 08:43 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Mr Trump is that you?

What if iop890 is Trump?

Or a high ranking Trump election campaigner.

Iop give our remarks to the emperor!

Then the glorious bent-on-table ass on iop890's avatar is Ivanka's??



Anyway, a toast to this ass's owner, whoever he may actually be:

HillaryBot?

   

^^
Better yet, just leave her unplugged.

(03-16-2016 09:14 AM)Liberty Sea Wrote:  

Quote:The gray bars are where the candidates would be if they won every delegate after Tuesday.

Needless to say, that's unlikely. If no more delegates came in for any candidate tonight, Trump would need to more than two-thirds of the delegates from tomorrow onward to be the uncontested nominee, and Ted Cruz would need to win 90 percent of them. But there are still votes to be counted tonight. As it stands, Trump needs about 57 percent of every remaining delegate -- including the ones we know he'll add in Illinois -- to be the nominee for the Republican Party.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-...e-nominee/

We will see if Cruz is sincere about not wanting a brokered convention after the next few contests. Soon he will need more than 100% of the remaining delegates in order to win 1237. If he still stays in the race by then he's aiming for a brokered convention. If he doesn't, well, that creates more materials for Trump to attack him: a proven liar. If he's smart he should drop out and endorse Trump and aiming for Trump's VP shortlist.

Kasich is clearly aiming for the brokered convention. here is what his chief strategist, John Weaver, said:

Quote:With the electoral map shifting significantly in our favor, Governor Kasich is positioned to accumulate a large share of the almost 1,000 remaining delegates and enter Cleveland in strong position to become the nominee

The establishment probably won't choose him, but tell him that they will. I expect he will continue to do badly from now on.

What happens to Rubio's, Yeb's! and Carson's delegates?

(03-16-2016 09:14 AM)iop890 Wrote:  New York members, remember to register Republican before the 25th, or you won't be able to Make America Great Again.

Unfortunately, you needed to change your affiliation by last October:

http://gothamist.com/2015/10/06/democrac...acracy.php

(03-16-2016 09:29 AM)Libertas Wrote:  

(03-16-2016 09:14 AM)iop890 Wrote:  New York members, remember to register Republican before the 25th, or you won't be able to Make America Great Again.

snip

Unfortunately, you needed to change your affiliation by last October:

http://gothamist.com/2015/10/06/democrac...acracy.php

Shiiiit

(03-16-2016 09:14 AM)Dr. Howard Wrote:  sidebar: Obama has gone ahead and nominated a supreme court justice. Chicago native, originally appointed by Clinton. Interesting to see how this factors into the race.

How clever, I'm sad to have to say it, for Obama to have nominated a White man, and a relatively moderate one, for this post. (Also, with a Jewish mother, I think).

It'll therefore be more difficult for the Republicans to justify their refusal, given that Obama's pick is (probably) not a leftist fanatic, not an affirmative-action profiteer, and could also (unless I'm mistaken) invoke the antisemitism card, if needed...

Trump telling Fox he won't be at the debate:

I know many on RVF are big on aesthetics, so don't miss the retro Trumpwave

More quality animation from Taiwan:

The Anonymous #optrump hashtag has opened my eyes to the hilarious #moralfags hash tag. It has a special ring to it, like cuckservative

Scott Adams on Trump vs Clinton: http://blog.dilbert.com/post/14114658921...rsus-trump

Quote:It looks like we’ll have a Clinton versus Trump contest for the White House.

The last time Trump and Clinton mixed it up hard, Clinton called Trump sexist and Trump responded that she was an enabler for her husband’s womanizing. In summary:

- Clinton accused Trump of being anti-woman

- Trump accused Clinton of being anti-woman

I wonder if we have seen all of the permutations of gender politics. I doubt we will see Clinton accuse Trump of being anti-male. That wouldn’t stick.

But we haven’t seen Trump accuse Clinton of being anti-male. And that would stick like tar. He might be saving that one for later.

Remember that Linguistic Kill Shots such as low-energy, little Marco, and robotic generally have two characteristics that make them work:

1. The label must be a fresh one you have not seen in politics.

2. Voters must be reminded of the label every time they see or hear the subject.

I’ve never heard a politician call another one anti-male. So this approach qualifies on the freshness dimension. And any time you hear Clinton talk about making the world better for women – which is obviously a legitimate goal – it would remind you she cares less about men, even if that isn’t true. (We don’t know what is in her head.)

Trump could frame Clinton as anti-male without ever saying “anti-male.” The exact words matter less than the concept. But the words do need to be catchy in some way, so everyone wants to repeat them.

My gut feeling is that men will abandon Clinton every day from now until November unless Trump murders a baby on live television. Otherwise, I think Trump wins easily with men.

But women are the interesting wild card in this scenario. For the sake of discussion, let’s say half of Clinton’s female supporters have a grudge against men. That seems about right if you consider all the attention on gender discrimination. Now add to that all the abusive relationships women have experienced, both personally and professionally, and you have plenty of reasons for women to be anti-male, even if only subconsciously.

But the hypothetical half of women that do not have a grudge against men would run like the wind to avoid being labelled anti-male. It goes to identity. And identity is always the strongest level of persuasion. The only way to beat it is with dirty tricks or a stronger identity play.

Trump is well on his way to owning the identities of American, Alpha Males, and Women Who Like Alpha Males. Clinton is well on her way to owning the identities of angry women, beta males, immigrants, and disenfranchised minorities.

If this were poker, which hand looks stronger to you for a national election?

I pause here to remind you that I don’t agree with any of the candidates on policies. I’ll blog more on that later. My interest is in Trump’s persuasion skills.

Changing the topic just a bit…

Prediction: I predicted on Twitter that Trump would solve his “third act problem” (of being an accused racist) by going to the high ground of love. He already says he loves his supporters, and he loves his family, and wounded veterans, and his country. But that won’t be enough. To solve for being an accused racist he would need to say he loves the groups that hate him. And he would have to say it often.

Why would people believe Trump? Simple. Racists can’t say in public that they love the people they really hate. They can’t sell that kind of lie, so they would avoid the situation entirely. On some level you know that.

So expect some love coming soon. That’s the ultimate high ground. You can’t mock it and you can’t top it.

(03-16-2016 09:29 AM)Wreckingball Wrote:  What happens to Rubio's, Yeb's! and Carson's delegates?

Here is a short answer regarding Rubio's (and other candidates') delegates:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/mar...tion-2016/

Quote:Where do Rubio’s delegates go?

Are they released and free to vote for whomever they choose? Nope, that would be too easy. What happens to a departed candidate’s delegates depends on the delegate’s state, and those details are fuzzy and complicated.

For example, Rubio’s seven now-released delegates from Kentucky must convene in a meeting with bound delegates in which they will vote in a secret ballot to reallocate Rubio’s delegates to another candidate. Some states release delegates to support whomever they choose at the convention (for example, New Hampshire and Tennessee). Other states continue to bind delegates to the withdrawn candidate (Iowa), or they reallocate the delegates among the remaining candidates as if the withdrawn delegate had never qualified (Alaska).

There’s really just no simple, pithy way to accurately summarize what happens to delegates who are released — even in general terms.

According to ABC, Rubio had 163 delegates at the time of his withdrawal (our delegate tracker reports a slightly different number) and 23 are still bound to Rubio. What happens to the rest of his delegates will prompt the first large-scale delegate fight of the election season.

(03-16-2016 10:05 AM)Liberty Sea Wrote:  

(03-16-2016 09:29 AM)Wreckingball Wrote:  What happens to Rubio's, Yeb's! and Carson's delegates?

Here is a short answer regarding Rubio's (and other candidates') delegates:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/mar...tion-2016/

Quote:Where do Rubio’s delegates go?

Are they released and free to vote for whomever they choose? Nope, that would be too easy. What happens to a departed candidate’s delegates depends on the delegate’s state, and those details are fuzzy and complicated.

For example, Rubio’s seven now-released delegates from Kentucky must convene in a meeting with bound delegates in which they will vote in a secret ballot to reallocate Rubio’s delegates to another candidate. Some states release delegates to support whomever they choose at the convention (for example, New Hampshire and Tennessee). Other states continue to bind delegates to the withdrawn candidate (Iowa), or they reallocate the delegates among the remaining candidates as if the withdrawn delegate had never qualified (Alaska).

There’s really just no simple, pithy way to accurately summarize what happens to delegates who are released — even in general terms.

According to ABC, Rubio had 163 delegates at the time of his withdrawal (our delegate tracker reports a slightly different number) and 23 are still bound to Rubio. What happens to the rest of his delegates will prompt the first large-scale delegate fight of the election season.

Could the nomination process get any more convoluted?

(03-16-2016 05:12 AM)iop890 Wrote:  Thoughts on Roger Stone's Stop the Steal project?

http://stopthesteal.org

Looks like he wants some of that sweet sweet cash. Donate to what? So someone can man a phoneline?
Don't we already have governement agencies set up for election/voter fraud?

edit; I made this reply as I am still 4 pages behind.

(03-16-2016 01:46 AM)iop890 Wrote:  Last year's republican voter turnout was 252,000.

This year they almost broke a million. #HighEnergy

Meant to specify Missouri Republican voter turnout here.

We choose the nominee, not the voters: Senior GOP official
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/16/we-choose...icial.html

Quote:Political parties, not voters, choose their presidential nominees, a Republican convention rules member told CNBC, a day after GOP front-runner Donald Trump rolled up more big primary victories.

"The media has created the perception that the voters choose the nomination. That's the conflict here," Curly Haugland, an unbound GOP delegate from North Dakota, told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday. He even questioned why primaries and caucuses are held.

Haugland is one of 112 Republican delegates who are not required to cast their support for any one candidate because their states and territories don't hold primaries or caucuses.
Even with Trump's huge projected delegate haul in four state primaries Tuesday, the odds are increasing the billionaire businessman may not ultimately get the 1,237 delegates needed to claim the GOP nomination before the convention.

This could lead to a brokered convention, in which unbound delegates, like Haugland, could play a significant swing role on the first ballot to choose a nominee.

Most delegates bound by their state's primary or caucus results are only committed on the first ballot. If subsequent ballots are needed, virtually all of the delegates can vote any way they want, said Gary Emineth, another unbound delegate from North Dakota.

"It could introduce Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, or it could be the other candidates that have already been in the race and are now out of the race [such as] Mike Huckabee [or] Rick Santorum. All those people could eventually become candidates on the floor," Emineth said.

House Speaker Paul Ryan, who decided not to run for the White House this year, said in a CNBC interview Tuesday he won't categorically rule out accepting the GOP nomination if a deadlocked convention were to turn to him. But on Wednesday, a Ryan spokeswoman said the speaker would not accept a Republican nomination for president at a divided convention.

Democrats experienced the last true brokered presidential convention to go beyond the first ballot in 1952. Republicans came close at their 1976 convention.
"The rules haven't kept up," Haugland said. "The rules are still designed to have a political party choose its nominee at a convention. That's just the way it is. I can't help it. Don't hate me because I love the rules."

Haugland said he sent a letter to each campaign alerting them to a rule change he's proposing, which would allow any candidate who earns at least one delegate during the nominating process to submit his or her name to be nominated at this summer's convention.

If the GOP race continues at the same pace, Trump would likely have a plurality of delegates. So far, he's more than halfway to the 1,237 magic number.

Trump split Tuesday's winner-take-all primaries in Florida and Ohio.

The real estate mogul dominated in Florida over Sen. Marco Rubio, who dropped out of the race after losing his home state.

But Trump lost Ohio to the state's governor, John Kasich. Trump also won Illinois and North Carolina. He held a slim lead over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in Missouri early Wednesday.

Emineth, also a former chairman of the North Dakota Republican Party, told "Squawk Box" in the same interview that he's concerned about party officials pulling "some shenanigan."

"You have groups of people who are going to try to take over the rules committee," he warned. "[That] could totally change everything, and mess things up with the delegates. And people across the country will be very frustrated."

"It's important that the Republican National Committee has transparency on what they're doing [on the rules] going into the convention and what happens in the convention," he continued. That's because of "all the votes that have been cast in caucuses and primaries. Don't disenfranchise those voters. Because at the end of the day, our goal is to beat Hillary Clinton or whoever their [Democratic] nominee is in November."
Emineth said he's worried that frustration would discourage Americans in the general election from voting Republican.

Translation: "Boy, I sure would like to hang from a streetlight!"

Some heroes don't wear capes

I really don't think Hillary has a chance against a high energy Trump.

Am I the only who thinks she dresses like Kim Jong Il ?

Finally found this... my new ringtone