As someone who's been hitting the clubs a bit too much in Osaka lately I'll hop in here. I've actually never gotten anywhere with girls in Tokyo, even when I went three weekends ago. Found the club to be too cold. In Osaka, which has some decent clubs in my opinion, girls tend to be much easier to approach. But, of the last 4 I've bedded over the last 5 weeks or so from Osaka, only one was a ONS. The others I met in a club, got their line, and after messaging for one to three weeks got them out on a date and banged afterward. The funny thing is, all three of them would have seemed like lost causes at the end of the night to a gamer used to focusing on ONS's or on more Western-style game in general. They were all with friends so I couldn't isolate, so just hit the dance floor with the group or pair of girls, then eventually they pulled the "トイレ行って来る" shit and left me high and dry.
So I'm now 3/3 on date lays, and starting to focus entirely on that game model. One of them, who I went out with last night, I hadn't even approached. Instead I'd approached her friend who was giving my glances, but quickly realized who the hotter one was. So, when they started taking infinite photos and shit I made sure they were on the hotter one's phone while I posed with the ugly friend and told the hot one to take the photo. Of course pulled the "send me those photos" move to get her LINE ID, and the rest is history

. As for how many numbers lead to dates though, it's hard to say cause some of them I decide not to pursue as I'm past the initial focusing on notches stage and moving towards only going out of my way for 7.5+ girls, but when a girl makes an approach easy I usually roll with it and decide later. Paid off in the case of the girl from yesterday who's a solid 8 and turned out to be quite busty in that special way only Japanese girls know how to keep hidden until you get their clothes off. Moral of the story is, LINE game and getting a girl out on a date have paid off by far the most for me in Osaka. The clubs have been perfect for this.
Also, I'm noticing a trend where if I can make a girl move exactly how I want/ask while making out or even just while sitting somewhere and escalating touching I can be certain she'll be down to bang. It just translates to them being pretty passive in bed and literally only doing what I tell them to which gets boring, but I have hope that I can get the ones who I keep around to become kinkier as time goes on. I'm talking like things I took for granted with girls in the states. Like, every girl who I've asked to give me head here has done it enthusiastically, but none have initiated. And God forbid they should decide to start fondling my balls or whatever while doing it, cause that would be like, two things at once right? Last two girls I was with in the states always pulled kinky shit like that and I loved it, and hate that it's not really possible to ask girls to do that here. Funny side note on this topic: I was escalating touching in karaoke with the girl from last night, and went for the make out by saying "キッスする?" (will you kiss me?) which sounds cheesy but some girls get all giggly and blushy about it which is great. So she says "まかせる" (I'll leave it to you/I'll let you decide) which I thought was cute. I looked it up in my dictionary app this morning though cause I figured it might have a more nuanced meaning than I'd initially thought, and one of the definitions is "to
passively leave to someone else's facilities". Hilariously pertinent. Like a Japanese version of saying "Have your way with me" without really saying it.
One last thing: Unlike you lucky fucks I've been confronted by bush with every Japanese girl I've ever slept with. Do any of you guys have experience bringing it up with a girl and getting her to trim or shave? I hate going to finger a girl and having to comb through pubic hair. I trim myself so it's reasonable to ask them, but I feel like it's something most of them have never thought about.