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el mechanico · 2014-02-07 09:50:00 · #1146
^ Yes
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-09 14:10:00 · #1148
The death or pending death of Mt. Gox has been our dilemma and ongoing saga all weekend. What to do in regard to the news about Mt. Gox?

One aspect that has really been irritating me with this recent BTC price saga is that Coinbase has NOT been allowing their BTC prices to adequately fluctuate downward with the exchange prices. Accordingly, even though Coinbase's BTC prices seemed to had been largely pegged to Bitstamp, in the last couple of days, Coinbase's BTC prices have been about 4% higher than Bitstamp. Also, higher than all the other exchanges and the general BTC market rate.

This leads me to believe that Coinbase has been taking advantage of this situation and engaging in some of its own shenanigans to skim additional profits from its customers by NOT allowing its BTC sales price to go down along with the "real" BTC price market. It gets really irritating to NOT be able to buy at the low low bargain prices that had been fluctuating downward and then quickly back upward. For example, for several hours, other exchanges such as bitstamp and btc e were exchanging BTC in the $650 to $680 range, and Coinbase's prices would NOT go below $700.

I understand that Coinbase is NOT an exchange.. but still they should be closer pegged to the overall market (as they had been, prior to this recent BTC price crash).
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-10 06:03:00 · #1149
we gotta a real BTC crash going on right now...
Tex Pro · 2014-02-10 06:15:00 · #1150
There is a run on Mt.Gox with a possible flaw in the protocol:

http://www.coindesk.com/price-drops-mt-g...al-delays/
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-10 06:54:00 · #1151
When the crash is going on it is unreal how fast the price is dropping, and don't know when it is going to stop... and on BTC e it went from 680 to 504 in a few minutes then it bounced back up... I just am to fricken slow to pull the buy trigger at the right time.
pants · 2014-02-10 07:25:00 · #1152
Someone selling bitcoin for 100USD a piece on BTC-e =]
I think this engaged the flash-crash this time.


http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments...d_on_btce/
el mechanico · 2014-02-10 08:15:00 · #1153
Maybe it was a smooth move to pick up more coins? Or someone drunk.
Maciano · 2014-02-10 12:24:00 · #1154
Fat fingers?
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-10 13:19:00 · #1155
(02-10-2014 12:24 PM)Maciano Wrote:  Fat fingers?

I don't know if any of you were chomping at the bit to buy BTC during those few minutes that it was crashing, but what happened is that all of a sudden fiatleak was exploding with beeping every few seconds and guys (or bots) were making multiple large trades, and it appears that everyone was selling and no one was buying.... but it was kind of up and down between $690 and $640, then all of a sudden it went to $610. I am looking at coinbase as well BTC e b/c that is where I do most of my buys from fiat to BTC.

I click to refresh BTC e and it is at $610 and then I click again and it is at $510, and I am doing a sort of double take. It couldn't be $510, and then I click again and it is $500 or $504 or something like that. I click on coinbase and then I click back on BTC e and it is $540... I start figgiting around and trying to put my buy order into Coinbase... actually at the time, I was trying to put in my buy order, I was trying to match it with my "buy instant" limit which was $730, at the time, b/c I did NOT know if BTC prices would keep going down. That took me an additional 30 seconds of futzing, and by the time I hit buy, the BTC price was $596.

Actually in about the past day I had been complaining over and over in the troll box about Coinbase prices NOT tracking the exchanges during crashes, and for some reason, during that particular crash, Coinbase was matching the dips of the exchanges a lot better than it had been in previous days... and it was even lower than bitstamp for a while... which cause me to think something additional may have been going on regarding the seriousness of the BTC price crash.

Surely, it would be nice to have some kind of better vision about what is going to happen to BTC in order to take better advantage of these kinds of moments. Also, what happens during such a situation is the troll box is shooting out 30 message per second of sell, sell, sell and I told you so and other such messages... mixed in with other predictions... and some of them are buy, buy buy or given actual numbers to say where BTC is going in the next few minutes, hours, days, weeks or even years. Quite entertaining, if a guy could keep up with all of it.... and at the same time, NOT to forget about whether he is going to buy or sell.
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-10 22:10:00 · #1156
I just caught up on the articles and comments of the threads posted by TP and Pants.




(02-10-2014 06:15 AM)The Texas Prophet Wrote:  There is a run on Mt.Gox with a possible flaw in the protocol:

http://www.coindesk.com/price-drops-mt-g...al-delays/


Many accounts of this situation is that Mt. Gox is just buying time with their various made up excuses. Surely, we may get another BTC price crash in the event that Mt. Gox comes out with the "real" news - in the event that account holders are NOT able liquidate their Mt. Gox holdings.... or if some of the account holders were to lose money b/c of some kind of Mt. Gox shenanigans, that could have deeper rippling effects through the BTC community.

Personally, I am NOT really sure how to react to these evolving events. Over the past few days, I have bought quite a bit of BTC based on my ongoing bullishness regarding BTC. Accordingly, I am thinking about holding out on further purchases for the potential of another BTC price drop and to buy again in the low 600s or upper 500s, if we get there and if I catch it.... of course, my exact course of action will depend upon how quickly the BTC prices were to move to that price range, if at all. I am kind of inclined to think that we are going to get another "crash" at some point primarily b/c of the continued uncertainty regarding what Mt. Gox is doing and whether they are going to survive as an exchange.




(02-10-2014 07:25 AM)pants Wrote:  Someone selling bitcoin for 100USD a piece on BTC-e =]
I think this engaged the flash-crash this time.


http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments...d_on_btce/



The most important questions concerning BTC prices dipping to $102 on BTC e for a very short period of time seems to revolve around how it happened and the motive for such selling off of BTC.

The facts are NOT 100% clarified - yet it seems that the weight of the evidence (and convincing speculation), so far, is that there was a large sell off of BTC. The sell off was so large 3 to 4 thousand BTC that it was able to fill most of the outstanding BTC e orders (down to the price of $102). Accordingly, guys could have made a killing had he sold and then put in an BTC order for a low ball amount.

Did any RVF guy reading this thread acquire some cheaper BTC through this large order that dropped BTC e prices to $102?



Regarding motivation for the sale of the 3 to 4 thousand BTC: Personally, I do NOT really buy any of these stories that some guy "accidentally" typed the wrong sale number. I suspect probably what happened is that someone wanted to get rid of BTC really quickly, and selling during a downward panic should have likely brought quite a bit of camouflage to be able to get rid of a lot of BTC quickly - even though it was NOT a way to maximize profits.... only maximizes getting rid of the BTC quickly and being able to include that dump in the middle of a point in which a lot of other BTC holders are also selling.


(02-10-2014 01:19 PM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  Actually in about the past day I had been complaining over and over in the troll box about Coinbase prices NOT tracking the exchanges during crashes, and for some reason, during that particular crash, Coinbase was matching the dips of the exchanges a lot better than it had been in previous days... and it was even lower than bitstamp for a while... which cause me to think something additional may have been going on regarding the seriousness of the BTC price crash.

Regarding my previous post about my concerns and accusations about Coinbase taking advantage of us and potentially skimming some profits in opportune times, I had written a scathing e-mail to Coinbase, and then I received a response from CB. In essence I accused CB of skimming and profiting at the expense of customers who wanted to buy BTC. Their initial response to me was kind of wimpy and generic, and I re-asserted my accusations.

Thereafter, I received a more substantial response from CB. More or less, CB's explanation was that they were NOT sufficiently supplied in BTC to be able to respond to such high level increased BTC demand (based on the crisis). Accordingly, they had to make appropriate BTC pricing adjustments. It may be true that CB is suffering some growing pains.... and fine tuning their buy and sell systems in order to be able to respond to demands... and to stay within US regulations.... etc etc. Feel free to PM me, in the event you want further description regarding this kind of matter regarding Coinbase.



BTW, on another note... Maciano: Have any RVF guys asked you for BTC matching funds, yet?


El Mech: Are you in our out of BTC? or other cryptocurrencies?
el mechanico · 2014-02-10 22:19:00 · #1157
Jay I bought NMC when I woke up and saw the crash at 7 am getting ready to dump it now.

Like I said lots of drama with these coins so that's just how I'm going to roll.

Seriously if you say your long term then don't watch. It's a mess that will drive you crazy. I'm sure many of the trollbox guys tried to jump out of their basement windows last night! If they were trading real currency they would ruin every government on earth in two weeks.
Deepdiver · 2014-02-10 22:44:00 · #1158
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-10 23:01:00 · #1159
(02-10-2014 10:19 PM)el mechanico Wrote:  Jay I bought NMC when I woke up and saw the crash at 7 am getting ready to dump it now.

Like I said lots of drama with these coins so that's just how I'm going to roll.

Seriously if you say your long term then don't watch. It's a mess that will drive you crazy. I'm sure many of the trollbox guys tried to jump out of their basement windows last night! If they were trading real currency they would ruin every government on earth in two weeks.

I watch mostly b/c I continue to buy fairly regularly, and I am attempting to get coins as cheaply as I can time it... may give me a few extra percentage points, here and there.



(02-10-2014 10:44 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  Very interesting article:

http://www.naturalnews.com/039865_bitcoi...Adams.html

D_Diver:

I can tell that this linked article is crap, by the first couple of lines. It is inaccurate b/c it describes a BTC crash based on 30 seconds on one exchange. Even if on one exchange, BTC was down to $102 for a fraction of a second, that is NOT where BTC prices remained for the day... currently BTC prices are hovering around $700.

If the guy cannot get his basic facts correct, then how can we rely upon him to come to reasonable conclusions.

Don't get me wrong, I like Mike Adams on other topics, and I have listened to quite a few of his podcasts a couple of years ago based on some health topics. Nonetheless, he does NOT appear to know about BTC. It appears that he is just being sensationalist and out of touch with the reality of what is really going on with BTC on a broader level.

Ultimately, I do NOT have a problem with reading nay sayer accounts and predictions about the direction of BTC and/or other crypto currencies, so long as they are getting their basic facts in an accurate ballpark.
el mechanico · 2014-02-11 09:35:00 · #1160
I put the smack down on NMC yesterday. It doesn't look like much raising 60 cents but when you buy and sell thousands it adds up.
strengthstudent · 2014-02-11 11:55:00 · #1161
Majority of mainstream bitcoin articles are crap because the writers are clueless.

I am kind of pissed off at bc gox -- they are incompetent losers who don't deserve to be trading no more. Luckily I have good nerves, just too bad I bought majority of my bitcoins at 800$... and got my first mbitcoins at 100$ but didn't invest more.

Anyhow, I am bullish for bitcoin. Also, waiting for Ethereum fundraiser to start.
pants · 2014-02-11 12:26:00 · #1162
Every time Andreas Antonopoulos is interviewed he brings something new to the table I haven´t heard about before. I consider him one of the sharpest people within the crypto world. If he thinks Ethereum is a good idea, so do I. I don´t think I have the ability to judge it by myself as I am not a huge coder.



JayJuanGee · 2014-02-11 12:43:00 · #1163
(02-11-2014 11:55 AM)strengthstudent Wrote:  Majority of mainstream bitcoin articles are crap because the writers are clueless.

Agreed

(02-11-2014 11:55 AM)strengthstudent Wrote:  I am kind of pissed off at bc gox -- they are incompetent losers who don't deserve to be trading no more.

This seems to be up for debate... whether Mt Gox are incompetent or corrupt... I think that there is a large amount of evidence to establish that they are incompetent... but I would NOT be totally surprised if it ends up being true that there ends up being some corruption going on as well... ... money does have this corruption luring aspect to it... and some of the Mt. Gox stories just do NOT really seem to add up.. also, we know that owners and high level people on exchanges are going to have opportunities for insider trading type practices, as well. Anyhow, I am willing for the moment to go along with the better case scenario that Mt Gox fucking up due to being in over their heads.... and failing to get competent assistance.




(02-11-2014 11:55 AM)strengthstudent Wrote:  Luckily I have good nerves, just too bad I bought majority of my bitcoins at 800$... and got my first mbitcoins at 100$ but didn't invest more.

Anyhow, I am bullish for bitcoin
. Also, waiting for Ethereum fundraiser to start.

I started in BTC at $1,200, so I bought a lot of coins between $800 and $1200; however, I have been spreading out my BTC buying over more than two months... accordingly, my current average price per BTC is $758-ish including transaction costs. I am NOT worried about the current price of BTC (in the upper $600 territory) - even though we may have a few more crashes over the coming months. It seems likely that there are going to be a few more pieces of negative news regarding BTC... including how the federal past seizures of BTC are going to affect BTC market prices. A problem with crashes is that we cannot really predict them very well ahead of time - though sometimes in this fast moving world we may have a little bit of a heads up.... but then the news changes, and the BTC market does the opposite what was anticipated.

I continue to think in terms of at least a two year-ish investment in BTC... and will play it by ear regarding the direction that I invest the money.... Surely, if there were any clear signs that the fundamentals of BTC were broken or flawed in irreversible ways or that another coin or network were picking up BTC's crypto-currency momentum, then it may be worth while to migrate my investment over to another crypto-currency or into fiat.. .. ... and maybe Ethereum will be the one.. though we all know at the moment, BTC does NOT have any real long term rivals... and any long-term investment in any of the other crypto-currencies (besides BTC) is based on speculation that one of those other crypto-currencies could replace BTC..... ....

I have mixed feelings about the multi-tude of various crypto-currency rivals (at the moment, nearly 100 alternative cryptos listed on coinmarket cap)... For a variety of reasons, these rival cryptos could help BTC and the crypto-currency market, or they could hurt it.

Also, with any risky investment, we have to be prepared for the possibility of losing all of what we have invested into it.. though as time passes, there are becoming more and more ways to liquidate crypto currencies (especially, and mostly BTC)...... .

(02-11-2014 12:26 PM)pants Wrote:  Every time Andreas Antonopoulos is interviewed he brings something new to the table I haven´t heard about before. I consider him one of the sharpest people within the crypto world. If he thinks Ethereum is a good idea, so do I. I don´t think I have the ability to judge it by myself as I am not a huge coder.

I agree with Pants that Antonopoulos has been evolving into a pretty decent and seemingly credible source for information regarding the fit of various crypto currencies into the BTC network… or even as a potential rival to BTC. Certainly, he is a BTC evangelist and bullish regarding the long-term viability of BTC as a network.. .NOT just concerning today’s or future BTC market prices.
Tex Pro · 2014-02-11 13:27:00 · #1164
el mechanico · 2014-02-11 14:08:00 · #1165
Hold on to your pants guys! You've all been Goxxed!
Maciano · 2014-02-11 14:29:00 · #1166
Apple ban, Russia ban, Gox being Gox, hackers attacking exchanges,...

I guess that sums it up. For now.
el mechanico · 2014-02-11 14:47:00 · #1167
I'm on the fence to buy something or not thoughts?
strengthstudent · 2014-02-11 14:52:00 · #1168
The price is the lowest it has been for a long time, it could be a good time to buy except the price could drop even more in couple of days. Buying a small amount every day to every other day until the price starts going significantly up could be wise. I just bought bitcoins with 65$.
JayJuanGee · 2014-02-11 15:10:00 · #1169
(02-11-2014 02:47 PM)el mechanico Wrote:  I'm on the fence to buy something or not thoughts?

Sometimes I do NOT know whether you are trolling, or what...

Anyhow, back to business.... ... to attempt to respond to your question... :::

To me, it seems that there is going to be a downward trend in all BTC for a couple of days, based on the latest news and various negative pieces related to BTC.. but certainly the downward trend of BTC is NOT guaranteed....

And, you, El Mech, seem to have been presenting yourself as an "all or nothing" sort of investor, so personally, I may NOT be the right guy to make suggestions that are potentially NOT in harmony with your investment style preference(s).

As far as other currencies, maybe some other guys can recommend something..... frequently the ones listed on BTC e parallel the performance of BTC, but sometimes they are NOT quite in sync with BTC.... I mean, look at Terracoin, at the moment, nearly a 50% return over 24 hours, even though BTC is flat.. at the moment...

Overall, I would say to wait it out for a few days... and if BTC truly has another considerable crash, it would be good to buy during such crash.... otherwise, if there is some signs of uncertainty, I would suggest to spread out the investment a little bit - to put part in BTC and some other parts in various alt currencies and then wait a few days to add more...


(02-11-2014 02:52 PM)strengthstudent Wrote:  The price is the lowest it has been for a long time, it could be a good time to buy except the price could drop even more in couple of days. Buying a small amount every day to every other day until the price starts going significantly up could be wise. I just bought bitcoins with 65$.


I am beginning to like the ideas of SS.............. the only problem SS, is that El Mech claims to NOT be a little here and a little there kind of investor.... he (el Mech) suggests that he is more of a balls to the wall kind of investor. Unless, he is reconsidering his investment philosophy? Smile
Maciano · 2014-02-11 15:12:00 · #1170
El-Mech,

As soon as this tx-malleability thingy is fixed by big exchanges & Gox gone for good, btc will quickly rally to ~1500$ or so in coming months.

So, yeah, I buy in.
el mechanico · 2014-02-11 15:19:00 · #1171
Well I'm all in BTC again..For now

I think it will go up 40 dollars today to about 680 or so
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