jcardial
Recovering Beta

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RE: Flying girls to your city
(11-22-2018 08:51 AM)Saweeep Wrote: "I won't buy girls drinks"
"I don't see the point in going to expensive bars and restaurants."
"Pricey clothes are a waste of money."
"Who needs a luxury car?"
"Studio apartments are just fine."
"Business and First class flights are just not worth it."
"Why take a taxi if you can walk? Exercise is important to me."
"I'd never fly some hot young pussy to fuck me for a weekend cause that makes her a whore."
Experience has taught me that most of these things are said by those that can't afford them.
Denigrate what you can't have...like chicks who shame attractive women for the slightest thing.
This is a pretty straightforward problem to approximate and most guys wouldn't feel taken advantage of when these attempts fail if they had been spending within their means. Let's say the total cost is $800. If the girl is hot and he is 80-100% sure it will be a great success, around a grand isn't too bad for a guy who makes good money. If there's a 25%-50% chance, which sounds more reasonable from the limited info provided, the implied cost per successful weekend is $1600-$3200.
A few grand per notch paid towards a dubious girl isn't very palatable for the overwhelming majority of income levels given it could basically pay a vacation of your own or go towards wooing many more local women. The reason the OP was humming and hawing is because he wasn't confident this was a lock and it correctly felt less like expected value and more like expected overspending.
Cliff notes: divide cost by the decimal probability of getting laid to determine whether the cost per success is roughly within your budget (e.g. for 25%, $800/.25 = $3200 i.e. bleeding money).
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| 11-22-2018 10:15 PM |
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ATW in 80 Days
Game Denialist
Posts: 29
Joined: Aug 2018
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RE: Flying girls to your city
(11-22-2018 10:15 PM)jcardial Wrote: (11-22-2018 08:51 AM)Saweeep Wrote: "I won't buy girls drinks"
"I don't see the point in going to expensive bars and restaurants."
"Pricey clothes are a waste of money."
"Who needs a luxury car?"
"Studio apartments are just fine."
"Business and First class flights are just not worth it."
"Why take a taxi if you can walk? Exercise is important to me."
"I'd never fly some hot young pussy to fuck me for a weekend cause that makes her a whore."
Experience has taught me that most of these things are said by those that can't afford them.
Denigrate what you can't have...like chicks who shame attractive women for the slightest thing.
This is a pretty straightforward problem to approximate and most guys wouldn't feel taken advantage of when these attempts fail if they had been spending within their means. Let's say the total cost is $800. If the girl is hot and he is 80-100% sure it will be a great success, around a grand isn't too bad for a guy who makes good money. If there's a 25%-50% chance, which sounds more reasonable from the limited info provided, the implied cost per successful weekend is $1600-$3200.
A few grand per notch paid towards a dubious girl isn't very palatable for the overwhelming majority of income levels given it could basically pay a vacation of your own or go towards wooing many more local women. The reason the OP was humming and hawing is because he wasn't confident this was a lock and it correctly felt less like expected value and more like expected overspending.
Cliff notes: divide cost by the decimal probability of getting laid to determine whether the cost per success is roughly within your budget (e.g. for 25%, $800/.25 = $3200 i.e. bleeding money).
I don't like the idea of calculating your expected cost per notch. It's not possible to accurately determine your odds of banging the girl, and then you'd have to multiply it by your expected costs for the weekend (a tough number to estimate). In addition to being impractical, you're damaging your own chances by entering a weekend with the belief that you have a 25% chance of banging the girl. Go into it with full confidence or don't do it at all.
I think it's simple. If you have the disposable income and the girl has shown real interest, then go for it. The $1000 for the flight and dinners/drinks isn't going to make or break many guys.
If the guy in question is in fact a chump, he's got bigger problems than analyzing his expected cost per notch.
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| 11-22-2018 10:58 PM |
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ATW in 80 Days
Game Denialist
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RE: Flying girls to your city
(11-22-2018 11:16 PM)Shemp Wrote: >>It's not possible to accurately determine your odds of banging the girl, and then you'd have to multiply it by your expected costs for the weekend (a tough number to estimate).
It's also not possible to accurately (meaning within a few percentage points of the true value) to determine the odds of business success or expected profits, but bankers, venture capitalists, other investors still try the best they can. What's the alternative? Flip a coin? $1000/year won't break most guys but $1000/week over many years = thrown away opportunity for financial independence.
In practice, I don't consciously use numbers like JCardial suggests. Rather I go on gut feel. Suppose I repeated the deal over and over? What's my gut feeling as to likely succeses versus failures, likely benefits versus costs? If I get a bad gut feeling, forget. But behind my gut feeling is a subconscious calculation like JCardial is making. Similarly, some investors consciously use numbers, others go on gut feel and let the subconscious do something equivalent to number crunching.
I'm actually an analytical person in general, but for something like this, it would take the fun out of it to think in those terms. And I like to go into a date or a weekend with full confidence, which can be compromised if you go into the weeds with analysis.
Like I said in my post, make sure the girl has real interest. This isn't something to do with a girl that's on the fence.
If a guy flies a girl that hasn't shown any real interest, she's more likely to see him as a chump. As someone who jumped the gun. If her interest level in high, she will respect him and see the visit as a logical step in the fling/relationship.
Better for anyone with an issue in this area to learn how to discern a girl's interest level than to make calculations.
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| 11-23-2018 08:04 AM |
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NextStop100
Wingman
  
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RE: Flying girls to your city
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| 11-23-2018 11:27 AM |
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droughtmeat
Recovering Beta

Posts: 246
Joined: Oct 2017
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RE: Flying girls to your city
As for saweep's post, if you can afford all of those things, why not just go ahead? However, out of the ones I've tried, driving expensive cars (not my cars), buying more expensive clothing, buying girls drinks etc. they just ended up feeling kind of disappointing. I remember a friend going abroad and giving me his car for a month. Thus, I decided to test that thing on the German autobahn and reached 250 km/h peak speed. It was a disappointing experience and contributed to me simply not liking cars. However, being able to take an uber or taxi at will is great and going to nice restaurants is awesome too, imo.
I'm still opposed to flying girls to my city though. It simply feels bad for me personally. It's as though I didn't have enough game to get a girl in my city. Or, alternatively, I could use that cash to fly to another city / country and spend the weekend trying to get laid there. I'd only do it, if I had very little time on my hands and couldn't afford to leave the city.
But I disagree with those who think this is "slutty" behavior by the girls. Most girls I know do appreciate this on some level and know it's a free weekend of fun and sex.
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| 11-23-2018 11:35 AM |
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jcardial
Recovering Beta

Posts: 249
Joined: Sep 2009
Reputation: 7
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RE: Flying girls to your city
(11-23-2018 08:04 AM)ATW in 80 Days Wrote: (11-22-2018 11:16 PM)Shemp Wrote: >>It's not possible to accurately determine your odds of banging the girl, and then you'd have to multiply it by your expected costs for the weekend (a tough number to estimate).
It's also not possible to accurately (meaning within a few percentage points of the true value) to determine the odds of business success or expected profits, but bankers, venture capitalists, other investors still try the best they can. What's the alternative? Flip a coin? $1000/year won't break most guys but $1000/week over many years = thrown away opportunity for financial independence.
In practice, I don't consciously use numbers like JCardial suggests. Rather I go on gut feel. Suppose I repeated the deal over and over? What's my gut feeling as to likely succeses versus failures, likely benefits versus costs? If I get a bad gut feeling, forget. But behind my gut feeling is a subconscious calculation like JCardial is making. Similarly, some investors consciously use numbers, others go on gut feel and let the subconscious do something equivalent to number crunching.
I'm actually an analytical person in general, but for something like this, it would take the fun out of it to think in those terms. And I like to go into a date or a weekend with full confidence, which can be compromised if you go into the weeds with analysis.
Like I said in my post, make sure the girl has real interest. This isn't something to do with a girl that's on the fence.
If a guy flies a girl that hasn't shown any real interest, she's more likely to see him as a chump. As someone who jumped the gun. If her interest level in high, she will respect him and see the visit as a logical step in the fling/relationship.
Better for anyone with an issue in this area to learn how to discern a girl's interest level than to make calculations.
If in tennis someone is about to do a second serve you know there's give or take a 50% chance of you winning the point. I don't see why that information has to hurt your confidence or keep you from performing to the maximum of your ability. You can be realistic about your chances with women without detriment. If you are fully aware of potential points of failure you can be better prepared and at the very least manage your expectations and finances if there are big costs involved.
The girl in OP's case has very likely had some experience with gold digger game. If she is demanding all expenses paid from a near stranger she is probably very familiar with ways to string guys along and milk them for cash. She might have even disingenuously buttered him up the night they met if she found out he was living in LA and that was somewhere she wanted to visit.
It's hard to say how much of an ice queen princess this girl is from the limited info given, but guys should be wary of these types because they sometimes fleece guys for sport. If she wants you to throw down cash to impress her all weekend she may realize putting out on the first or second night isn't in her best interest. Day three or four rolls around around and the tacos made her feel sick or she's "on her period," or she decided to meet up with some girlfriends/a richer guy who finally responded to her DM.
With gold diggers you're on average dealing with a totally different beast than the girl you slept with a few times who you know genuinely likes you and will likely be happy with whatever you offer. The princess on the other hand might not like the smell of your apartment and demand an upgrade to a luxury hotel. She knows once you pay her flight she has you pot committed and she may or may not play with her leverage. Of course sometimes the weekend will go fine. The point is to be realistic about how these types of women can behave and factor that into your bottom line rather than just wishfully assuming paying up will work out well close to 100%.
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| 11-23-2018 12:27 PM |
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Shemp
Banned
Posts: 189
Joined: Oct 2018
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RE: Flying girls to your city
>>imo that's probably the wrong mindset. i think approaching it as a loss is no big deal is better than being a meiser every step of the way.
Have you actually experienced buying a $400 or whatever ticket and then the girl flakes and doesnt show (most likely thing to go wrong). A man can only be shitted on so many times before he breaks down and becomes bitter, ruining his chances with future women. Even buying a girl a drink and then she walks off laughing: if that happens often enough, eventually you'll crack. So you need to prepare in advance so you can't easily be shitted on. Don't put pussy on a pedestal. Don't fall prey to oneitis. Plenty more fish in the ocean, especially to a man who still has some money left.
If you're really Mr Nonchalant about money, who just laughs off the loss of $400, why can't you be Mr Nonchalant about pussy? Set some reasonable boundaries and if the girl can't live within those boundaries, let her go.
Further reading: /thread-71395.html
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| 11-23-2018 09:18 PM |
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The following 1 user Likes Shemp's post:1 user Likes Shemp's post
Vincent Chase
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One More
Male Feminist
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RE: Flying girls to your city
(07-17-2018 10:42 PM)Axel99 Wrote: I have a bit of a dilema, i met this hot 21yr old while i was traveling in a different city and weve been chatting about her coming to visit me in L.A...thing is i would have to pay for her round-trip plane ticket($400), meals, drinks, entertainment, etc. for a 4 day weekend. Dont get me wrong, I make good money and can easily afford it but Im not sure if she's really that into me or is just agreeing to an all expense paid vacation to the city of angels. She texts me alot about wanting to visit here and go to the beaches and attractions LA has to offer. Im still undecided and havent committed to anything but wanted to know if you guys have ever done this and was it worth it.
If you have a suspicion or not sure that she's using you, you can screen her for gold-digger vibes. Also, think back about who made the suggestions to do all these things that cost money. If they were all her ideas, and she damn well knows she can't afford paying for any of it, then there's a strong chance that she's a gold digger.
But then there's another side of the coin you have to consider. If she's 21 years old, chances are she's not making money yet -- or worse, she's in college and broke AF. Weigh these considerations out. It's your job to set boundaries. And you can salvage this chick by doing so. Also, get her to invest. If she isn't down to invest any amount of money for her ticket, then either next her or keep in touch once in awhile (if you plan to visit that city again soon for legit reasons other than to see her).
Set your boundaries from early on and don't let girls walk over you like that. It's up to you to lead her into interactions, always have an idea where you want to guide the conversation, always have a purpose. Don't fall into her frame.
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| 11-26-2018 02:19 PM |
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