DannyAlberta
Wingman
  
Posts: 713
Joined: Aug 2014
Reputation: 14
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
Prediction time: In the increasingly likely event that he does obtain the nomination, there will be a big push from the establishment of the GOP that they be allowed to bring their big money machines in to defray some of his national campaign costs (and I don't mean by paying a couple of bucks to buy a "Make America Great" button, but the hardcore "Koch" money).
That is going to be his most tempting moment. It will probably take close to $1 billion dollars to take on Hillary. Although Trump technically has that and more, he doesn't likely have it just lying around in a liquid state that is easily accessed and moreover, that wouldn't be missed. $1 billion is a lot of money to everyone who isn't a leftist-statist government with access to its own money printing press. So the real question will then be whether he accepts the money (or some of it) or not. If he does, however, he becomes part of the same establishment of bought-and-paid-for candidates that he (mostly rightfully) rails against. The establishment guys know this is their ace in the hole too, as it is hard to turn down that kind of ability to raise badly needed money to run against a very well-funded candidate.
That would be an outright existential crisis. I do wonder if he would choose to take the financial hit himself so he doesn't lose a key part of his "independence".
An interesting dilemma, albeit one for the future.
Just a human enjoying his "Apex-Predator Privilege" atop the food chain.
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2015 04:09 PM by DannyAlberta.)
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:09 PM |
|
The following 3 users Like DannyAlberta's post:3 users Like DannyAlberta's post
DamienCasanova, sixsix, Vice
|
JacksonRev
Wingman
  
Posts: 787
Joined: Dec 2013
Reputation: 7
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
(08-17-2015 04:09 PM)DannyAlberta Wrote: Prediction time: In the increasingly likely event that he does obtain the nomination, there will be a big push from the establishment of the GOP that they be allowed to bring their big money machines in to defray some of his national campaign costs (and I don't mean by paying a couple of bucks to buy a "Make America Great" button, but the hardcore "Koch" money).
That is going to be his most tempting moment. It will probably take close to $1 billion dollars to take on Hillary. Although Trump technically has that and more, he doesn't likely have it just lying around in a liquid state that is easily accessed and moreover, that wouldn't be missed. $1 billion is a lot of money to everyone who isn't a leftist-statist government with access to its own money printing press. So the real question will then be whether he accepts the money (or some of it) or not. If he does, however, he becomes part of the same establishment of bought-and-paid-for candidates that he (mostly rightfully) rails against. The establishment guys know this is their ace in the hole too, as it is hard to turn down that kind of ability to raise badly needed money to run against a very well-funded candidate.
That would be an outright existential crisis. I do wonder if he would choose to take the financial hit himself so he doesn't lose a key part of his "independence".
An interesting dilemma, albeit one for the future.
Trump spoke about that at the Iowa State Fair, when he said he turned down a $5 million campaign contribution because then he would want to help out people that helped him out, and that is what he is running against.
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:13 PM |
|
|
MidWest
Banned
Posts: 1,458
Joined: Jan 2013
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
(08-17-2015 03:06 PM)Mekorig Wrote: (08-17-2015 12:01 PM)Menace Wrote: The U.S. and Canada are the only developed nations that grant birthright citizenship. No Western European country grants birthright citizenship. If you're a tourist, and you have a baby in the U.S., the baby has citizenship. How can that possibly make any sense?
If the 14th Amendment is supposed to allow for this, then why do we have 8 U.S.C. 1401?
Relevant portions of this section that allow for citizenship include:
(a) a person born in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof;
(f) a person of unknown parentage found in the United States while under the age of five years, until shown, prior to his attaining the age of twenty-one years, not to have been born in the United States;
The phrase "subject to the jurisdiction thereof" appears to encompass far less than people suppose, otherwise why would you have a section such as section f)?
Haven't bothered to look up the legislative history of this, but I'm sure it's pretty interesting.
Jus Solis had its use when nations that relied in inmigrations to increase their populations have to put some order. The USA, Argentina and other "melting pots" need it to "create" their populations. You can see it in this map:
![[Image: 500px-Jus_soli_world.svg.png]](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/59/Jus_soli_world.svg/500px-Jus_soli_world.svg.png)
Deep blue is for unconditional Jus Solis, teal is for restricted Jus Solis.
But now that "tool" is beign abused for poor inmigrants looking for greener pastures in detriment of the now "local" populations. You in the US are luckier as your Consitution can be more easily modified than in Argentina, for example. More and more people is beggining to ask for a change from Jus Solis to Jus Sanguinis in response to the abuse that derive from it.
The U.S. constitution cannot be modified to please one group over another. The founding fathers made sure of that and purposely made it hard to override or modify amendments. Someone can't get rid of an amendment just because they don't like Mexicans. Regardless if people think its bad policy, that is the law of the land. People who wan't to end birthright citizenship (which is the law by the way) are acting no different than the people who come here illegally. Just because Trump makes it seem like its easy does not make it so. Constitutional amendments are almost never adopted or erased so ending birthright citizenship is deeply unrealistic. They will have to ratify a whole new amendment which can take years with the majority of congress agreeing with it.
I can see maybe a wall being built, even some illegal immigrants being deported. But ending birthright citizenship is a pipe-dream and not realistic.
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:14 PM |
|
|
Samseau
Innovative Casanova
      
Posts: 13,051
Joined: Mar 2010
Reputation: 268
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
(08-17-2015 04:14 PM)MidWest Wrote: (08-17-2015 03:06 PM)Mekorig Wrote: (08-17-2015 12:01 PM)Menace Wrote: The U.S. and Canada are the only developed nations that grant birthright citizenship. No Western European country grants birthright citizenship. If you're a tourist, and you have a baby in the U.S., the baby has citizenship. How can that possibly make any sense?
If the 14th Amendment is supposed to allow for this, then why do we have 8 U.S.C. 1401?
Relevant portions of this section that allow for citizenship include:
(a) a person born in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof;
(f) a person of unknown parentage found in the United States while under the age of five years, until shown, prior to his attaining the age of twenty-one years, not to have been born in the United States;
The phrase "subject to the jurisdiction thereof" appears to encompass far less than people suppose, otherwise why would you have a section such as section f)?
Haven't bothered to look up the legislative history of this, but I'm sure it's pretty interesting.
Jus Solis had its use when nations that relied in inmigrations to increase their populations have to put some order. The USA, Argentina and other "melting pots" need it to "create" their populations. You can see it in this map:
![[Image: 500px-Jus_soli_world.svg.png]](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/59/Jus_soli_world.svg/500px-Jus_soli_world.svg.png)
Deep blue is for unconditional Jus Solis, teal is for restricted Jus Solis.
But now that "tool" is beign abused for poor inmigrants looking for greener pastures in detriment of the now "local" populations. You in the US are luckier as your Consitution can be more easily modified than in Argentina, for example. More and more people is beggining to ask for a change from Jus Solis to Jus Sanguinis in response to the abuse that derive from it.
The U.S. constitution cannot be modified to please one group over another. The founding fathers made sure of that and purposely made it hard to override or modify amendments. Someone can't get rid of an amendment just because they don't like Mexicans. Regardless if people think its bad policy, that is the law of the land. People who wan't to end birthright citizenship (which is the law by the way) are acting no different than the people who come here illegally. Just because Trump makes it seem like its easy does not make it so. Constitutional amendments are almost never adopted or erased so ending birthright citizenship is deeply unrealistic. They will have to ratify a whole new amendment which can take years with the majority of congress agreeing with it.
I can see maybe a wall being built, even some illegal immigrants being deported. But ending birthright citizenship is a pipe-dream and not realistic.
Have you been paying attention? Trump has demonstrated his ability to rally outside of the DC establishment.
He could easily get a constitutional amendment passed with 2/3's of the state's votes once he assumes office. He is going to be a massively popular leader and his first 100 days will be a game changer. Trump is looking to be one of the most powerful presidents America will have in the 21st century.
Contributor at Return of Kings. You can follow me on Twitter.
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:30 PM |
|
The following 1 user Likes Samseau's post:1 user Likes Samseau's post
SamuelBRoberts
|
DannyAlberta
Wingman
  
Posts: 713
Joined: Aug 2014
Reputation: 14
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
(08-17-2015 04:13 PM)kleyau Wrote: (08-17-2015 04:09 PM)DannyAlberta Wrote: Prediction time: In the increasingly likely event that he does obtain the nomination, there will be a big push from the establishment of the GOP that they be allowed to bring their big money machines in to defray some of his national campaign costs (and I don't mean by paying a couple of bucks to buy a "Make America Great" button, but the hardcore "Koch" money).
That is going to be his most tempting moment. It will probably take close to $1 billion dollars to take on Hillary. Although Trump technically has that and more, he doesn't likely have it just lying around in a liquid state that is easily accessed and moreover, that wouldn't be missed. $1 billion is a lot of money to everyone who isn't a leftist-statist government with access to its own money printing press. So the real question will then be whether he accepts the money (or some of it) or not. If he does, however, he becomes part of the same establishment of bought-and-paid-for candidates that he (mostly rightfully) rails against. The establishment guys know this is their ace in the hole too, as it is hard to turn down that kind of ability to raise badly needed money to run against a very well-funded candidate.
That would be an outright existential crisis. I do wonder if he would choose to take the financial hit himself so he doesn't lose a key part of his "independence".
An interesting dilemma, albeit one for the future.
Trump spoke about that at the Iowa State Fair, when he said he turned down a $5 million campaign contribution because then he would want to help out people that helped him out, and that is what he is running against.
No question he's been consistent on not accepting money for the nomination run. But he isn't yet staring the high 9-figure bill in the face from a national campaign. The primary runs are significantly cheaper. Also his opponents are "friendlier" for the most part. The Republican establishment may be hostile to him, and openly so, but don't underestimate the power of being the front-runner on taming what they are prepared to say about him and do to him. People like to win more than to lose. There are some things that even they won't say about someone who is seeking the Republican nomination when it looks like he is the more popular choice.
For example, they aren't running round-the-clock, Super-PAC funded, hit pieces and character assassinations on his ass the way the Democrats will. The temptations of soft-money to counter that will be significant.
Don't get me wrong, I find his commitment to self-funding appealing and I hope he would stay principled and not cave in such a situation. But we are talking almost a billion - with a "B".
Just a human enjoying his "Apex-Predator Privilege" atop the food chain.
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:42 PM |
|
|
Samseau
Innovative Casanova
      
Posts: 13,051
Joined: Mar 2010
Reputation: 268
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
(08-17-2015 04:42 PM)DannyAlberta Wrote: (08-17-2015 04:13 PM)kleyau Wrote: (08-17-2015 04:09 PM)DannyAlberta Wrote: Prediction time: In the increasingly likely event that he does obtain the nomination, there will be a big push from the establishment of the GOP that they be allowed to bring their big money machines in to defray some of his national campaign costs (and I don't mean by paying a couple of bucks to buy a "Make America Great" button, but the hardcore "Koch" money).
That is going to be his most tempting moment. It will probably take close to $1 billion dollars to take on Hillary. Although Trump technically has that and more, he doesn't likely have it just lying around in a liquid state that is easily accessed and moreover, that wouldn't be missed. $1 billion is a lot of money to everyone who isn't a leftist-statist government with access to its own money printing press. So the real question will then be whether he accepts the money (or some of it) or not. If he does, however, he becomes part of the same establishment of bought-and-paid-for candidates that he (mostly rightfully) rails against. The establishment guys know this is their ace in the hole too, as it is hard to turn down that kind of ability to raise badly needed money to run against a very well-funded candidate.
That would be an outright existential crisis. I do wonder if he would choose to take the financial hit himself so he doesn't lose a key part of his "independence".
An interesting dilemma, albeit one for the future.
Trump spoke about that at the Iowa State Fair, when he said he turned down a $5 million campaign contribution because then he would want to help out people that helped him out, and that is what he is running against.
No question he's been consistent on not accepting money for the nomination run. But he isn't yet staring the high 9-figure bill in the face from a national campaign. The primary runs are significantly cheaper. Also his opponents are "friendlier" for the most part. The Republican establishment may be hostile to him, and openly so, but don't underestimate the power of being the front-runner on taming what they are prepared to say about him and do to him. People like to win more than to lose. There are some things that even they won't say about someone who is seeking the Republican nomination when it looks like he is the more popular choice.
For example, they aren't running round-the-clock, Super-PAC funded, hit pieces and character assassinations on his ass the way the Democrats will. The temptations of soft-money to counter that will be significant.
Don't get me wrong, I find his commitment to self-funding appealing and I hope he would stay principled and not cave in such a situation. But we are talking almost a billion - with a "B".
He's already stated he is prepared to spend 1 billion of his own money for the campaign.
Go look at the Iowa Q&A session a few pages back, I think he said it there or in the NH Winnacunnet High School speech.
Not sure why guys think he wouldn't spend his money on this. What else is there for him to spend money on? This is how Christians behave, they act for the good of others because it is more fulfilling than satisfying yourself.
Contributor at Return of Kings. You can follow me on Twitter.
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:45 PM |
|
The following 1 user Likes Samseau's post:1 user Likes Samseau's post
DamienCasanova
|
DannyAlberta
Wingman
  
Posts: 713
Joined: Aug 2014
Reputation: 14
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
Just a human enjoying his "Apex-Predator Privilege" atop the food chain.
|
|
| 08-17-2015 04:55 PM |
|
|
scorpion
True Player
    
Posts: 2,211
Joined: Sep 2012
Reputation: 228
|
RE: The Donald Trump thread
Trump's ascent continues to amaze, even for those of us who predicted it. I would kill to be a fly on the wall at the GOP national HQ and in the other candidates' war rooms. What must they be thinking and saying at this point? They're getting absolutely obliterated in embarrassing fashion. This man, whom they consider a buffoon, a political novice, an outsider, is completely and utterly schooling the entire bench of GOP candidates, and he is only gaining momentum. I mean, I think Trump is literally causing panic attacks and possibly even sporadic pants-shitting among the GOP elite at this point. The entire facade of the GOP as representing conservative principles is crumbling to dust in the wake of Trump's brutal populist onslaught.
I think the point of no return for the GOP is rapidly approaching: either they get fully on board the Trump train and go full steam ahead to crush Hillary/Sanders/Biden, or else they cement themselves as the ultimate turncoat cuckservatives and find some pretext to expel Trump from the party before he starts winning the early primaries. Talk about being stuck between a rock and a hard place, though: it's clear that whichever option they choose, the GOP as we know it will be over. It will either be totally transformed in the image of Trump, or it will likely cease to exist as a national party after Trump gets expelled and takes millions of angry voters with him - and not just in the 2016 elections - but likely in forming a nationalist third party going forward.
"For all flesh is as grass, and all the glory of man as the flower of grass. The grass withereth, and the flower thereof falleth away. But the word of the Lord endureth forever.” - 1 Peter 1:24-25
|
|
| 08-17-2015 06:00 PM |
|
The following 13 users Like scorpion's post:13 users Like scorpion's post
It_is_my_time, godfather dust, MiscBrah, TheWastelander, SupaDorkLooza, robreke, YossariansRight, Matrixdude, Eskhander, Professor Fox, DJ-Matt, MaleDefined, Canopus
|