mycleverid
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(09-27-2011 12:17 PM)basilransom Wrote: But as the primaries inched closer, Obama's camp grew in size and fervor, and became hugely popular at Clinton's expense.
Um, go back and look at the numbers. I don't know if Nate Silver's old website is archived anywhere since his move to the NYT, but you'll see the Obama was more of a squeaker than the narrative now makes it sound.
History is marked by triumphalism among teams who won by a field goal. By April 2008, yes, Clinton was trailing by ten and needing a touchdown and an onside kick to go her way to have any hope. But, she was still winning primaries and trying to force a contested convention.
Being a politically active Democrat (which, BTW, is a great way to game college girls if you don't mind a steady diet of 6s), I'll tell ya that there was a large section of us who didn't accept Obama until the Clintons told us the jig was up. There were many of us who wanted competence, not hope.
I admit none of that compares to the stomach wrenching turns the GOP primary could take if the Anybody But Romney crowd doesn't start pulling together behind one candidate.
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| 09-27-2011 02:25 PM |
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mycleverid
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(09-27-2011 02:37 PM)Brian Wrote: Plus it will be great watching all the so called racist tea partiers in love with a black guy.
FTR, I don't think the Tea Party is racist. I do however think it has become an umbrella term, especially in the media, for a whole host of aggrieved right-wing constituencies. And the old Dixiecrats and worse are one of those constituencies.
In American politics, politically active racists have been like barnacles. They attach themselves to the bottom of whatever movement they think will carry them.
A century ago they were attached to the progressive labor movement. Then they found the Klan in the 30s Democratic South. Then they attached to the Dixiecrats and eventually to Nixon's southern strategy in the 70s, completing their transfer out of the Democratic party. They attached to the militia movement in the 90s and now they want to attach to the Tea Party movement.
It does make a convenient narrative for progressives.
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| 09-27-2011 02:46 PM |
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Basil Ransom
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(This post was last modified: 09-27-2011 04:10 PM by Basil Ransom.)
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| 09-27-2011 03:56 PM |
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Chad Daring
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(This post was last modified: 09-27-2011 04:08 PM by Chad Daring.)
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| 09-27-2011 04:06 PM |
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The following 1 user Likes Chad Daring's post:1 user Likes Chad Daring's post
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Brian
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
Obama is worse then Bush. Its like Bush was driving the car into the wall at 35 mph and Obama said "hey, let me take over, i can take care of the problem" then proceeded to slam down the gas pedal, crank it up to 100, and aim right for the wall.
I actually met Ron Paul and spoke with him briefly in his office a couple of years back (around 2008) and while I liked him and what he stood for the thing I walked away thinking was how frail and old he seemed. Like a strong breeze would knock him over. Nice guy though.
Whoever takes over in 2012 is going to have a difficult job, but if someone stands up there and says "listen, we've been partying way too long, spending money we dont have, and its got to stop. yes, its going to hurt for a while, but its take our medicine or die a slow death, and we're going to take our medicine" then i think the American people would embrace and stand behind that even if it meant dealing with a nasty couple of years. Instead we just get more lies and BS and the can gets kicked down the road.
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| 09-27-2011 04:53 PM |
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The following 1 user Likes Brian's post:1 user Likes Brian's post
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thegmanifesto
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
"but if someone stands up there and says "listen, we've been partying way too long, spending money we dont have, and its got to stop. yes, its going to hurt for a while, but its take our medicine or die a slow death, and we're going to take our medicine" then i think the American people would embrace and stand behind that even if it meant dealing with a nasty couple of years."
That will happen as soon as American girls stop wearing Ugg Boots and Flip-Flops.
No matter who gets in, (even if he has noble ideas) the elites will throw their hooks in the guy and he will be exactly like Bush. Or Obama.
Left and Right doesn't matter anymore (if it ever did). It's all about benefiting the elites- Wall Street, CEO's etc.
Was Bush conservative? No.
Was Obama liberal? No.
The both did (and do) things that benefit the rich. That's it.
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| 09-27-2011 05:04 PM |
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El Rey
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(09-27-2011 05:04 PM)thegmanifesto Wrote: That will happen as soon as American girls stop wearing Ugg Boots and Flip-Flops.
No matter who gets in, (even if he has noble ideas) the elites will throw their hooks in the guy and he will be exactly like Bush. Or Obama.
Left and Right doesn't matter anymore (if it ever did). It's all about benefiting the elites- Wall Street, CEO's etc.
Was Bush conservative? No.
Was Obama liberal? No.
The both did (and do) things that benefit the rich. That's it.
Yep. American policy has pretty much been the same under each president starting with Reagan. Reagan, Bush I, Clinton, Bush II, Obama - it's been deregulation, lower taxes for upper class, military and intelligence buildup and increased presence around the world, tax loopholes for corporations, wielding more power to the Fed, lobbyist and corporate influence taking over gov't, etc.
The Powers That Be just use stupid social issues (abortion, gay marriage, stem cell research, gun control, death penalty, etc.) to distract the average citizen from what's really going on. There is no such thing as an election anymore. It's just a selection now, as both candidates are vetted by The Powers That Be. That's why I rarely waste my time with politics bullshit or the news.
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| 09-27-2011 05:32 PM |
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Chad Daring
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(09-27-2011 07:03 PM)basilransom Wrote: Curious... If you were the emperor of the US, how would you fight obesity?
I'd probably tax sugar. In basically everything, besides fruits. And end crop subsidies. Maybe tax vegetable oils.
Can't think of anything else.
Annual physical fitness tests.
Measure body fat percentage, cardiovascular endurance, and basic lifting strength.
Draw a line. Everyone who scores on one side of the line gets reward (lets say an extra $1000 on their tax return) everyone on the other side of the line has to pay $1000 on April 15th.
If you're a middle/low class family thats struggling and say, needs a new car, you've got four people in the household (husband, wife, two kids) and you all pass the test thats $4000 in your pocket, thats your down payment right there.
Testing starts at age 12, kids aren't tested very hard but it makes it the parents job to not only keep their kids healthy, but to instill in them healthy beliefs and ideals.
If you cant pay the $1000 you can differ and go to a fat work camp where your used as manual labor to get shit done for the greater good of the country (guild roads, clean up trash, ect) until you've become fit enough to pass the test the next year.
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| 09-27-2011 07:22 PM |
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Rebel
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
Personally I want somebody that will change the tax system.
It's insanity that a single mother who might pay a couple of grand in federal withholding gets 7 grand back at the end of the year.
The irs has turned into a welfare system. It's no mystery why we are broke.
I personally would like to see the fair tax but apparently the tax accounting business and others who benefit from the present tax structure will keep this from happening.
Of all the repubs who I believe have some smarts that are running.
Newt (Politically not possible)
Cain (This ain't happening as president but vice pres maybe?)
My dream ticket would be Christie Cain.
A moderate white guy who speaks his mind.
A conservative black guy with a good business background...
Christie thinking about it??
Christie might run..
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| 09-27-2011 08:10 PM |
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speakeasy
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RE: 2012 Election: Who do you think will win?
(09-27-2011 05:04 PM)thegmanifesto Wrote: Left and Right doesn't matter anymore (if it ever did).
There are a number of substantial issues where left and right make a serious difference. For example, tax cuts/hikes. A liberal will want to raise taxes(at least on the rich), and the right will want to slash taxes. Both policies have major implications for the economy, our productivity and deficit. You can't say that just doesn't matter. And then there are a host of other things left and right disagree on such as what to do about climate change, whether we should be trading carbon credits, whether we legalize gay marriage, what is the role of government in health care, do we extend unemployment benefits, do we increase school spending, etc etc. These are very real issues where there is a dividing line.
Obama is very much a liberal. At least under the surface, but obviously no President can 100% govern by his convictions. There's reality and realpolitik to deal with. There's an obstructionist congress to deal with. There's a generally conservative population to deal with, there's the election coming up. If he were take off gloves and come out as firebrand liberal it would have to be in his 2nd term, otherwise he might as well write himself off as a one term president. Just look at any polls, more Americans identify as conservative than identify as liberals. That's why it always seems like Republicans have a home court advantage. Bush was able to do almost anything he wanted for 8 years unimpeded. Obama has literally been forced to govern from the middle. You can't have a left-wing president in America. For that to happen in a democracy you need a left-wing population. Why do we have this Republican congress? Because people were pissed off about a public option in health care. Something that is the norm in the rest of the industrial world is seen as some sort of totalitarian communism here. And he got hit hard in the polls for it. So what is it supposed to do? Turn further left and guarantee a loss in 2012? Just remember where you're at folks. This ain't Sweden.
(This post was last modified: 09-28-2011 12:20 AM by speakeasy.)
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| 09-28-2011 12:17 AM |
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