Post: #51

(09-22-2017 03:48 PM)pitt Wrote:  Been betting for the last 7 years daily, made a good amount of money doing it (remember that only 1% of people betting are on profit), I tell you, there is no way in hell he is making 100k in 3 to 4 weeks, matterfact I highly doubt he will be on profit 4 weeks from now.

All it takes is one lucky donk heater.

Post: #52

(09-20-2017 10:10 PM)Eddie Winslow Wrote:  How about Maryland vs UCF?

Maryland is -170 at home coming off a big road win at Texas and a blowout win last week UCF just got rocked with the hurricane and had their game last week cancelled - who even knows how their practice situtation has been lately. Really digging UMD.

You won't see an Eddie Winslow football betting datasheet anytime soon.

Post: #53

The last play of the half in the bears & Steelers game was totally messed up. Looks like the parlay is in jeopardy though.

Post: #54

I knew I didn't like the NFL! With this week's parlay busted and Gambler's talk I have a proposition. Disco continues to post his picks and Gambler posts his picks. Race to $100,000.

Post: #55

Broncos did me in. They did a complete 180 from last week.

My heavy favorite strategy worked, its those close margin ones which end up fucking you. I still have $150 in reserve from last week's win so I'll try and get that back up to the $500 range next week.

Technically I'm still up 100% from my deposit amount but this was a major setback.

Post: #56

My supercontest picks 4/4 so far with Seahawks +3 to come Not that I bother with NFL these days- market is too efficient before playoffs to bother much with. Anytime TD scorers, match up related player props and injury news are the only major angles and you won't get much $ down.

Post: #57

(09-17-2017 08:55 PM)Seth_Rose Wrote:  Cheers, man! I was following hoping the Cardinals would pull out, which they did. If you post your picks for next week I may mirror you haha. Have you been doing this strategy for a while or is it something new you're trying?

This was my first week betting. I tried to follow the home underdog strategy, particularly with underdogs with less than +2.5 points. For this week, there were only two games that fit into that: Jacksonville v. Tennessee (I picked Jax, they lost) and Dallas and Denver (I had Denver and they won). I also picked the Rams (they were a favorite), thinking they'd crush the Redskins, but they lost. So I ended up 1-2 on the week. If I stuck to those principals I would have been 1-1. Indy was a big home underdog too, but they got killed last week by the Rams so I passed on it, but they would have covered this week. Anyway, I may try and implement this strategy more. However, Disco's parlays seem enticing.

The reason I started betting this week is because I heard about MyBookie.ag on Joey Diaz's podcast. The offer was for 100% match on your deposit over $100--seemed like a good deal. I'll give it a few weeks and see how things go. If someone wants to sign up shoot me a PM because I may be able to get more money.

I went 2-1 today in the NFL. I am now 3-3 this season. My picks and explanations are below:

1.) Colts +1 over the Browns: See my above home underdog strategy when home underdog spread is less than 2.5 points. This strategy is 2-0 for me thus far.
2.) Titans -3 over Seahawks: Not part of my strategy, but Titans seemed to be overwhelming favorite.
3.) Broncos -3 over Bills: This pick flopped. It was the biggest public bet this week (Maybe that says something??). It seemed so obvious the Broncos would win after crushing the Cowboys, but yet, they lost.

I am a bit happy for that loss though because it only confirms the home underdog strategy. In fact, the home underdogs are 6-2 so far this week against the spread. Was almost 7-1 because the Lions lost by 4 points and the spread was 3 or 3.5--they were close and would've won the game to if a last second TD wasn't overturned! There are 2 more home underdogs left this week, Cardinals and Redskins. I am not too confident both those teams will beat the spread, but still, the system looks solid.

For next week I will be disciplined and bet only using the home underdog strategy, particularly focusing on underdogs with spreads less than 2.5 and greater than 7.5. I doubt underdogs will always perform this well, but will study this strategy for the remainder of the season.

When odds for Week 4 are out I will post them! And of course, looking forward to another parlay from Disco, though they are a bit too risky for me.

Post: #58

Home dogs getting 3, 3.5, 4.5, 7, 7.5, 10, 10.5, 14 against hyped up favourites off a big win is strategy 1.01, particularly on Thursdays if they have a line likely to be fresher (healthy players vs guys on a long trip with knocks). As I say though, NFL is tough and the best will only be making a few %.

Post: #59

(09-24-2017 07:53 PM)ProGambler Wrote:  Home dogs getting 3, 3.5, 4.5, 7, 7.5, 10, 10.5, 14 against hyped up favourites off a big win is strategy 1.01, particularly on Thursdays if they have a line likely to be fresher (healthy players vs guys on a long trip with knocks). As I say though, NFL is tough and the best will only be making a few %.

Cute.

It's even better if you can go to random sports bars and ask the squares which among the road favorites should you bet on. They usually converge on one road favorite. That's the home dog you should slam on. Even better if it's a +3 with massive juice, then you can consider a 6 pt teaser instead if you get a good price.

Though yes, at best you're expecting a 55%ish win percentage.

Post: #60

(09-14-2017 11:48 PM)Disco_Volante Wrote:  My goal is to demonstrate how to turn $64 into $100,000 in 3-4 weeks
.019 BTC ($64) to win .18 BTC ($605) [LOSE]

(09-16-2017 09:32 PM)Disco_Volante Wrote:  NFL sunday. .0098 ($35) into .2 ($720) [WIN]

(09-17-2017 07:00 PM)Disco_Volante Wrote:  I have $785 (.21 btc) now.

(09-18-2017 09:39 PM)Disco_Volante Wrote:  $645 to win $3,100 (.162 to .78 btc). [LOSE]

(09-24-2017 03:10 PM)Disco_Volante Wrote:  I still have $150. Technically I'm still up 100% from my deposit amount.

I'm confused. The original goal was to turn $64 into $100K in 3-4 weeks.

First, you lost all $64.
Then you bet more $35, won $720, but claimed to have $785.
Then you lost $645, and claim to have $150 and be up 100%.

None of these numbers add up.

Post: #61

Surprised Steelers are only 2.5 favs vs Ravens coming back from London. Might be worth a bet to trade (back +3 or +3.5 later in the week)

Post: #62

Becon - yea it does. I won .21 bitcoin. this week's parlay I lost .162 bitcoin. I have .04 btc left.

The price of bitcoin fluctuated from 3390 earlier in the week to 4000 at one point, that's how I actually had over $800 after the first parlay.

Right my .04 btc is worth almost $200, and I have deposited $100 that first week based on the $64 parlay and $35 winning parlay.

Post: #63

You started with at least .01926 + .00983 = .02909 bitcoin.

Net win: -.01926 + .2005 - .1623 = 0.01894 bitcoin, a 65% return.

If you doubled your money, then it is because bitcoin rose.

Are you going stop depositing when you lose everything, and start tracking your results accurately to five decimals of bitcoin? Or do I need to keep track for your journal?

Post: #64

Come on becon, what are you an auditor? He's posting his bets, we don't need you to reconcile every penny and market fluctuations like an autistic sperg.

Post: #65

The problem with picking the Steelers on the road is that they are a terrible road team, however you do need a good run game to beat them, which I doubt The Ravens have lets see if the number rises to a 3 or 3.5 then we fire
Love this thread

Post: #66

$22 to win $1460
   
   

Love all of those. Florida State, Navy, and Clemson will probably be close until the end.

Baylor+19 is outstanding value. Kstate is not that much better than them.

Post: #67

Looks good, the Jags/Jets game seems like a trap. I can see Jags coming back from London laying an egg on the road. I'll tail with a tenner, Good Luck Mayne.

Post: #68

Yea betting on NFL road teams is Russian roulette, but I can't imagine the jets winning two in a row.

I heard last weekend vegas sportsbooks had one of their top 10 profitable weekends in their history. Every sucker was on the broncos and steelers. Cocksuckers.

Post: #69

How come bet365 doesn’t have baylor+19

Post: #70

Ok found it but damn bet365 has horrible margins

Post: #71

Guess the dream is lost!

Post: #72

Freaking Minnesota sucks! I'm trying to get that money.

Post: #73

Ya I even added georgia tech to the bet and this damn game with minnesota fucked it all up.

Post: #74

Maryland had their goddamm 3rd string qb in on the road and still won

Post: #75

What’s your next course of action?