Post: #151

(11-12-2016 01:11 AM)AneroidOcean Wrote:  Thanks to those who PM'ed me and others like Neo who corrected me on their actual profit. There was also some adjustment for Canadian or other currencies. This is all in US Dollars. This still leaves us over half a million with 50 winners at this point in the tally.

I've got a lot of thanks for putting this together, but it's only a small contribution compared to others and an easy one with all the help I've received here.

I'm out of state sitting in one of the super liberal cities that has had violent protests recently and I don't know if I would even dare to wear my Make America Great Again hat here due to the penchant for violence in the area, so this is a nice thing to be able to compile.

Now sorted by highest to lowest per request.

Well done guys.

Next big league political betting event will be French elections next year. Interesting to see the odds, but will be more difficult to guess in my opinion. Sarkozy and Le Pen are the interesting high odds choices there.

Post: #152

I don't usually gamble because I have a very addictive personality, but I thought I'd put £100 on Trump in this case (at 4/1 as I left it late). Was a nice little bonus. After following the Trump thread I felt pretty confident, and regret not having put a grand or so on.

Post: #153

July 27th 2015. I may not have made as much as others here, but I called it before anyone by a country mile. Way before Scott Adams or Cernovich.

https://twitter.com/Sam_seau/status/796331522831876096



I couldn't bet more because there were limits of 250 on that site. Also I am strongly against gambling, but putting some money where my mouth is shows my powers of analysis are legit. That is far more valuable than money to me.

Post: #154

Wow July 27th 2015. That must be the earliest bet, I don't think anyone could beat that. I'm suprised the odds weren't 100/1 or something. It would also be interesting to know who got the best odds. I managed to get odds of 11/1 but that was at 8pm November 9th as some of the states were being called for Hillary.

Kieran and Samseau you should both be asked to be put on the list. It's not about how much you win but just the fact you put your money where your mouth was.

Post: #155

Bet one hour before the election.    

Post: #156

(11-12-2016 05:00 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Not to be pedantic, but burneremail and Accuride 6 figure bets are from australia. The AUS to USD conversion isn't 1:1.

Accurides bet in USD: 100,316.58
Burneremail: 79,575.18

Not nearly as much energy, but still HIGH enough!

Mine is USD.

Post: #157

Dont forget my 1350 on the spreadsheet!

Post: #158

(11-07-2016 04:20 PM)Ethan Hunt Wrote:  

(11-07-2016 03:48 PM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Ethan, what time do you suggest we try that? I'm tempted to go in around 11pm.

11pm sounds good but make sure your bets are done by 4am (both UK time)

Also utilise your free bets. Bet365 giving £200, Sports Winner giving £200 and Betway giving £100. All the free bets require you to match that amount.

So £500 invested by yourself on a trump win betting right now at 9:15pm would give the following

Bet365 (3.5/1) £200 stake £1800 return £1600 profit
Sports Winner (3.3/1) £200 stake £1732 return £1532 profit
Betway (3.5/1) £100 stake £900 return £800 profit

That is an overall profit of £3932 at an average odds of 7.85.

Holding out and betting wisely will increase an already large return by a lot.

(11-07-2016 04:02 PM)spokepoker Wrote:  And how fast are the odds update?
What happened that made the odds jump so fast?
I was away for the weekend, checked in monday and odds are significantly higher than friday.

The increased volatility should in theory improve the odds for Trump, as he is the outsider.

This post made me (and a lot of other people) some decent coin! +1

Post: #159

(11-12-2016 02:58 PM)Mr. Accuride Wrote:  

(11-12-2016 05:00 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Not to be pedantic, but burneremail and Accuride 6 figure bets are from australia. The AUS to USD conversion isn't 1:1.

Accurides bet in USD: 100,316.58
Burneremail: 79,575.18

Not nearly as much energy, but still HIGH enough!

Mine is USD.

Please pardon my doubt!

Post: #160

Gotta give a big shout out to this forum(once again) for convincing me that betting on Trump was a smart move. Been following the Trump thread since the beginning of the year, and after listening to the wise sages of this forum and other alternative news sources (Bill Mitchell, Scott Adams, etc.) I was sure he would win. All the mainstream media was doing was saying he would lose, but the data and trends were pointing to a Trump win. It was really a perfect storm. Upon hearing the good news, the common reaction from friends was "Wow, how could you bet so much, what if he lost?" But this was never a bet to me, I always viewed it as a smart investment.

Back in late July I bet about 3k when the odds were only around 2/1 for Trump, since I didn't think they were gonna get any better. But then the Trump tapes hit and the odds jumped back up to about 5/1. So I got another 2.5k on Trump around 5/1 odds. Wish I would have had more money and just bet it all the morning of the election, as the odds were 5/1 the last time I checked, but of course I can't complain! Cashed out 6k on predictit and about 17.5k across 2 other betting sites. Made roughly 17.8k profit off my 5.5k investment. Still feeling the high energy from when I got home from work that day and saw the GREAT news!

Post: #161

I won just over $1000 on $300. First "sports" bet I've ever done. Now to decide whether the most American thing to do with it is buy an AR-15 or invest it into the business I'm starting.

Post: #162

Paddy Power paid early Hillary Clinton victory bets, in a PR and publicity stunt.

Luckily, it backfired terribly for them:

http://www.businessinsider.com/hillary-c...in-2016-10

Post: #163

While I've tried my hand gambling at the casinos this is my first time seriously betting on an event (even considering Melbourne Cup was earlier this month).

The first $1000 at 3.25. I had already read the Donald Trump forum and was convinced enough by the analyses of the forum members here. $1000 was a "safe" amount for me, and if it was lost it wouldn't be a big deal.

The second $1000 was because the odds had lengthened to 4.0. I was like "Hey, free money!", and I had enough on hand.

The third $1000, the odds had lengthened again to 5.0. Similar reasoning to the above.

As time passed I followed the odds as closely as I could, shifting from 5.5 to 2.7. Sportsbet allows early cashouts and at shorter odds my returns would have been higher. As more news reports came out, I did become more concerned if Trump could overcome any election rigging.

Just prior to the election, there was a point when the odds reached 10.0! While I knew rationally that the odds only reflected what other bettors think, at the back of my mind I was still wondering "Is this evidence that Soros is so confident of his rigging?"

I was at work during the election counting, and was checking my phone in between dealing with guests. As the votes came in, I watched Trump gain more electoral votes and the odds plummeted, while Clinton's shot up to 14.0! I was fist-pumping behind the scenes.

As always, there is always 20-20 hindsight - if I had cashed out at 2.7 (returning around $4000) and then bet right back in at 10.0, I could have won ~$40,000. I probably wouldn't have acted any differently, but it's always interesting to ponder how you could benefit more.

Post: #164

I think you can bet in both AUD and USD on betfair. I bet in AUD since I live/work in Australia.

seems like Scott Adams actually bet on Trump winning (he never mentioned how much he wagered and won). I suspect he was the unnamed individual that made 2.5 million USD.

Post: #165

(11-12-2016 06:20 PM)The Beast1 Wrote:  

(11-12-2016 02:58 PM)Mr. Accuride Wrote:  

(11-12-2016 05:00 AM)The Beast1 Wrote:  Not to be pedantic, but burneremail and Accuride 6 figure bets are from australia. The AUS to USD conversion isn't 1:1.

Accurides bet in USD: 100,316.58
Burneremail: 79,575.18

Not nearly as much energy, but still HIGH enough!

Mine is USD.

Please pardon my doubt!

Looks like they might be calling "Mr. Accuride" "Mr. LamboRide" pretty soon.

Post: #166

I won $372 on a $93.5 USD bet (6.5% got shaved from $100 on the website I used). Not much compared to many here but boy did it feel sweet texting that completed wager screenshot to all my butthurt liberal friends and acquaintances.

* Will share screenshot in PM if I need to to get on the spreadsheet. Has my real name on it

Post: #167

I'm ready to put a modest $250 down on Donald Trump Jr. for President Elect 2020. What kind of odds can I get?

Post: #168

(11-15-2016 01:47 AM)TrifeLife Wrote:  I'm ready to put a modest $250 down on Donald Trump Jr. for President Elect 2020. What kind of odds can I get?

You'll have to ring up and ask. He's not on any site at the moment.

Ivanka is on there though.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-p...020/winner

Post: #169

woops, I meant 2024

Post: #170

Cross-posted from the Donald Trump Thread:

Guys, I have a nice story relayed from a high energy <250 post count member who is also humble and thankful for all of your assistance in the threads. Quoted below and below this story there is an update to the betting tally (changes and the actual list), but first the story from Cuchulainn2016. He shared with me the history of his various bets on Trump in the primary to some free-roll sports bets and Brexit bets (wins) which he chose to roll back into multiple additional Trump bets at various odds that netted him over 85k USD:

Quote:I have just put an offer on a house for cash. The house is a 5 bed semi-detached, with nice gardens, within walking distance of the bars in the centre of the capital city I live in.
Half of the money for this house is my savings, the other half is the money from my winnings on Trump.
The house is on the market for considerably less than its worth, due to the fact old people have lived there and it hasn't been updated.
I will be able to live in a house that is effectively a mini-mansion for my city (when I have updated it) or sell it for a 50% profit in 6 months.
This is all due to my winnings on political bets, primarily Trump.
I have made the money due to betting on results I have determined from the information I have acquired on this forum.
I have to thank everyone on the Trump thread, those who are pro-Trump for their explanations of how he had a path to victory, and also those anti-trump, for ensuring this forum isn't some left-wing shitlib echo chamber.
Also, I have to thank the members of this forum for showing me what I was. I was always good with women, a zero fucks given personality, but I always thought there was 1 in 10000 like me, until I found here.
My thanks for that.

Shout out to The Beast1 for pointing out my oversight of burneremail having bet in Australian Dollars. Still, a healthy win of course, but we should be accurate (all funds are listed in USD and I use whatever google pegs the current exchange rate at...close enough for our purposes). Updated list below. Thanks to those who PM'ed me or posted in the various threads and also updated me on the denomination of funds:



EDIT (updated image above and stats to follow as I accidentally had infinitejest listed twice):

A few additional things to note. We are at 62 winners betting on Trump and the average win is just below 10k! ($9,461)

Don't we have the best bettors folks?

Post: #171

Final update. It's important to note that there are many who chose not to share and at least one member mentioned another member they know who won well into 5 figures (enough to push us past the 600k total) but who chooses to remain off the list. We did an amazing job and even those only winning enough to buy a few rounds of drinks should be proud that they took a risk against the majority.

As I said, a final update, but something I haven't personally decided on is how I will spend my winnings so if you care to share how you plan to spend yours we might all get some good ideas:

   

Post: #172

Personally, I don't intend to "spend" my winnings, I'll keep them around as a little reserve for a rainy day

However, I AM preparing to maybe to some stock bets on the upcoming French/Germany elections. Preparing means I'll be talking with a buddy who is a trader, doing my research on markets / trading basics and trying to decide if I found something where I feel there'll be a movement caused by the election results. This step of mine is just in the preparation phase so far.

Post: #173

One of the things that I like about Europe is that betting is legal

Post: #174

Anyone know of a site US residents can use to bet on more politics? I see that PaddyPower has 20/1 odds on Poland leaving the EU by 2025 http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/o...ds=2892288 (I'd take that bet, shit! only fine print is the EU has to exist in its current form when it happens, a full scale collapse voids bets) - but I can't bet on PaddyPower being a US citizen.

I won $1080 net betting on Trump on Bovada (check received and deposited, but they have no politics options available anymore) - I want to use the "insider" knowledge I gain here and elsewhere to place some shrewd bets on international politics (especially Europe) as we watch these bureaucratic disasters come apart at the seams.