Post: #44201

(10-19-2016 11:03 PM)Shrodax Wrote:  Something I've been wondering for a while now that I was just reminded of by the first question in tonight's presidential debate... Why does Donald Trump never mention his sister, Maryanne Trump Barry, when it comes to questions on judicial appointments? She's been a federal judge since 1983, yet I never hear Trump ever mention her as being a resource for advice on what he'd look for in his judicial appointments as president.

He mentioned her before, after Scalia died, that she's a judge and he jokingly said he'd nominate her, or that she'd be great on the Supreme Court but he wouldn't do that for obvious conflict of interest. The media de-humourized the comment and played it up as a corruption/nepotism narrative.

Hence, she doesn't get mentioned anymore.

Post: #44202

Great News:

Emerson Polling: Clinton +4 Pennsylvania.

+11 Democratic skew. In Pennsylvania, Democrats have +6 registered voters. This means Trump is trending +1 in Pennsylvania. That is extremely promising for the electoral college.

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_98fe8b35...c22ec9.pdf

Post: #44203

Ya'll need to check out Malik Obama on twitter. Here are a few gems:


"If Russia is such a threat why did Hillary sell the Russians uranium for their nukes?"

"Hillary wants no fly zone? Why she not make it on her face?"

"Maybe if Hillary was a beauty pageant winner on Trump's show maybe she would be for world peace"

"I am a good Muslim. I believe we need to keep our shoes on at the airport and get rid of the bad Muslims. Trump is good on this."

"I am sad that my brother is not the man @realDonaldTrump is"

Post: #44204

Solid truth talk from Scott Adams:

Quote:As a public service (and I mean that literally) I have been trying to unhypnotize the country on this matter for the past year. I don’t do this because I prefer Trump’s policies or because I know who would do the best job as president. I do it because our system doesn’t work if you think there is a pink elephant in the room and there is not. That isn’t real choice. That is an illusion of choice.

Trump represents what is likely to be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to bring real change to a government that is bloated and self-serving. Reasonable people can disagree on policies and priorities. But Trump is the bigger agent for change, if that’s what you think the country needs. I want voters to see that choice for what it is.

http://blog.dilbert.com/post/15202452602...ial-debate

Post: #44205

Quote:Ya'll need to check out Malik Obama on twitter. Here are a few gems:


"If Russia is such a threat why did Hillary sell the Russians uranium for their nukes?"

"Hillary wants no fly zone? Why she not make it on her face?"

"Maybe if Hillary was a beauty pageant winner on Trump's show maybe she would be for world peace"

"I am a good Muslim. I believe we need to keep our shoes on at the airport and get rid of the bad Muslims. Trump is good on this."

"I am sad that my brother is not the man @realDonaldTrump is"

   

Post: #44206

Can't trick the Malik!

Post: #44207

Quote of the night. Sheriff David Clarke:

"That was a TKO. Mrs Bill Clinton was out on her feet by the end of this debate. Hillary's an empty pants suit"

Hillary's an empty pants suit. That has trending potential.

Post: #44208

(10-19-2016 11:35 PM)Rush87 Wrote:  Great News:

Emerson Polling: Clinton +4 Pennsylvania.

+11 Democratic skew. In Pennsylvania, Democrats have +6 registered voters. This means Trump is trending +1 in Pennsylvania. That is extremely promising for the electoral college.

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_98fe8b35...c22ec9.pdf

And the first poll to show a straight-up lead for Evan McMullin in Utah. Hilarious.

That New Hampshire number also seems way farther off than it should be with only a D+3 spread. Must be some issue there (lots of issues there).


Other fun polling news I forgot to post earlier: new polls from Reuters and Economist/YouGov earlier today had Clinton +4 in each. The previous iteration of their polls from a week ago? +7 and +6, respectively. Very nice. Start gradually taking one or two points off a week until you get to a real election result of a Trump win!

Post: #44209

(10-19-2016 11:29 PM)philosophical_recovery Wrote:  

(10-19-2016 11:26 PM)Latinopan Wrote:  look the women Trump surround himself with.

Man, he really knows how to grab that pussy.

I like how all the women seem to be looking at the same target.

Post: #44210

My guess on the narrative to slam Trump:

Polls will get really fucking bad this next week. They have shown today they give zero fucks about even looking the slightest bit credible. Watch them skew the fuck out of things to make Clinton look like she got a debate bounce.

This will then be used to double down, and triple down, on the whole "Trump is a sore looser, he going to loose in a landslide and won't concede".

Look at how they are talking about this make believe battleground States. Over my dead body Arizona or Texas flips blue.

They will attempt to paint Trump's campaign as in freewill and out of control. They will push these polls until they self-combust. Wait for the day we see ~D+45 skews. It will happen.

This will be the last push to attempt to demoralize Trump's base.

Now is the critical time for Trump to pound the stump hard and talk direct to the people. Social Media has to be activated. Trump could also benefit from a "Presidential" moment. Maybe military has another event with him to show support. Something that really sets the tone that this guy is already in POTUS mode.

He has to hammer in the #Draintheswap message as well.

Get posters, hats, T-shirts out with the hashtag and let people embrace the term.

Post: #44211

I watched that bullshit festival debate from Trump International Waikiki. My bar tab is painful.

Theres a real estate desk with sluts working so I asked to see the listings. One of the penthouses is for sale so I asked to take a look, and they showed me. Plus some other "more affordable" units that were for sale.

Check this place out:http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/223-Sa...9512_zpid/

I also just at at this steakhouse in Trump. Holy shit was it expensive, but it was damn good. Its called BLT Steak, https://www.trumphotels.com/waikiki/dini...iki-hawaii

I don't eat meat, but everyone else had massive delicious looking steaks. My kampachi was fucking great. This slut I'm gonna grab by the pussy had a shrimp cocktail; hat was huge.

Trump isn't joking when he says his buildings are the best this place is amazing.



Aloha!

Post: #44212

Mark Cuban now claiming he knows two Trump sexual assault victims, one happened in a elevator.

I think he does not realize elevators almost by default have cameras.

Post: #44213

I'm back for a while, lads. Found this towards the bottom of a voat hole, it might be encouraging:

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/201...ore-123375

Quote:North Carolina
Folks ask me where is evidence of the Monster Vote. As of 10-15-16 the Party Affiliation in NC are as follows:

Republicans – 30.2%
Democrats – 39.7%
Libertarians – 0.5%
UNA (Independents) – 29.7%

Male Registered Voters: 3,047,319 (44.8%)
Female Registered Voters: 3,613,040 (53.2%)
Didn’t Provide Gender Data: 135,347 (2.0%)
Total Registered Voters: 6,795,706


Latest NC Early Mail Voting as of 10/18

15,610 (+922 from 10/17) more registered Republicans have requested an Early Mail In Ballot as of 10/17 (9.3% Lead up from 9.1% on 10/17 {+0.2%})

Vote-by-Mail Requested (Not Yet Returned)

REP: 67,954 (+2,679 from 10/17)
DEM: 52,344 (+1,757 from 10/17)
LIB: 597 (+29 from 10/17)
UNA: 47,276 (+1,946 from 10/17)
Total Requested: 168,171 (+6,411 from 10/17)

#Trump(Rep): 40.4% (same from 10/17)
#HRC(Dem): 31.1% (-0.2% from 10/17)
Lib: 0.4% (same from 10/17)
UNA: 28.1% (+0.1% from 10/17)

1,742 (+541 from 10/17) more registered Republicans have returned an Early Mail In Ballot as of 10/17 (3.8% Lead up from 2.9% on 10/17 {+0.9%})

Voted-by-Mail Returned & Accepted

Rep: 18,120 (+2,177 from 10/17)
DEM: 16,378 (+1,636 from 10/17)
Lib: 123 (+12 from 10/17)
UNA: 11,618 (+1,261 from 10/17)
Total Returned: 46,239 (+5,086 from 10/17)

#Trump (Rep): 39.2% (+0.5% from 10/17)
#HRC (Dem): 35.4% (-0.4% from 10/17)
#Lib: 0.3% (same from 10/17)
# UNA: 25.1% (-0.1% from 10/17)

New data out concerning early voting party affiliation in NC

2016: D 37%, R 38%, I 25% (so far)
2012: D 47%, R 32%, I 21%

Interesting stuff for number junkies.

Ohio

Hamilton County Ohio

Latest bellweather – Hamilton County, Ohio Absentee Ballot Requests and Returns as of 10-18-16 (Source Link)

9,673 (-257 from 10/17) more registered Republicans have requested an Absentee Ballot as of 10/17 (11.5% Lead down from 12.1% on 10/17 {-0.6%})

Vote-by-Mail Requested (Not Yet Returned)

REP: 28,425 (+350 from 10/17)
DEM: 18,752 (+607 from 10/17)
Non-Partisan (Independents): 36,492 (+765 from 10/17)
LIB: 27 (same from 10/17)
Green Party: 58 (+2 from 10/17)
Total Requested: 83,754 (+1,724 from 10/17)

Trump#: 33.9% (-0.3% from 10/17)
HRC#: 22.4% (+0.3% from 10/17)
Non-Partisan (Independents): 43.6% (same from 10/17)
LIB: 0.03% (same from 10/17)
Green Party: 0.07% (same from 10/17)

770 (-2 from 10/17) more registered Democrats have returned an Absentee Ballot as of 10/17 (7.7% Lead down from 37.0% on 10/17 {-29.3%})

Voted-by-Mail Returned

REP: 3,101 (+2,798 from 10/17)
DEM: 3,871 (+2,796 from 10/17)
Non-Partisan (Independents): 3,593 (+2,893 from 10/17)
LIB: 5 (+5 from 10/17)
Green Party: 8 (+6 from 10/17)
Total Returned: 10,578 (+8,498 from 10/17)

Trump#: 29.3% (+14.7% from 10/17)
HRC#: 37.0% (-14.7% from 10/17)
Non-Partisan (Independents): 34.0% (+0.3% from 10/17)
LIB: 0.5% (+0.5% from 10/17)
Green Party: 0.8% (+0.7% from 10/17)

We are looking really good in Ohio.

Florida

At this point don’t concern yourself with any polls coming out of FL. These tallies which are released daily is what is actually happening on the ground. Latest Florida Early Mail Voting as of 10-18-16

5,833 (+5,799 from 10/17) more registered Republicans have returned an Early Mail In Ballot as of 10/17 (+0.9% Lead up from 0.0% on 10/17 {+0.9%})

Rep: 265,657 (+55,0288 from 10/17)
DEM: 259,824 (+49,229 from 10/17)
Other: 17,457 (+3,105 from 10/17)
No Party Affiliation: 96,874 (+19,600 from 10/17)
Total Returned: 639,812 (+126,962 from 10/17)

#Trump(Rep): 41.5% (+0.4% from 10/17)
#HRC(Dem): 40.6% (-0.5% from 10/17)
Other: 2.7% (-0.1% from 10/17)
No Party Affiliation: 15.1% (same from 10/17)

20,832 (-19,720 from 10/17) more registered Republicans have requested an Early Mail In Ballot as of 10/78 (0.9% Lead down from 1.6% on 10/17 {-0.7%})

Vote-by-Mail Requested (Not Yet Returned)

Rep: 940,578 (-41,261 from 10/17)
Dem: 919,746 (-21,541 from 10/17)
Other: 56,490 (-1,622 from 10/17)
No Party Affiliation: 442,731 (-3,690 from 10/17)
Total Requested: 2,359,545 (-68,114 from 10/17)

#Trump(Rep): 39.9% (-0.5% from 10/17)
#HRC(Dem): 39.0% (+0.2% from 10/17)
Other: 2.4% (same from 10/17)
No Party Affiliation: 18.8% (+0.4% from 10/17)

You can track this daily at this link.

Pennsylvania

Week of 10/10 to 10/16

2,680 Republicans switched to Democrat
4,007 Others (Ind.) switched to Democrat

5,197 Democrats switched to Republican
3,269 Others (Ind) switched to Republican

Yearly Total 2016

42,740 Republicans switched to Democrat
72,988 Others (Ind.) switched to Democrat (Many to Vote for Bernie in Primary)

106,159 Democrats switched to Republican
53,448 Others (Ind) switched to Republican (Many to Vote for Trump)

Nevada

Early Voting Data from NV comparing early voting %s between 2012 and 2016

NV – 2012 44% D vs. 37% R
NV – 2016 33% D vs. 43% R (+17 points from 2012)

In NV at this time in 2012, the Party Affiliation of D and R was as follows

D = 42.2% (612,050 registered voters)
R = 34.1% (494,494 registered voters)

8.1% difference in favor of D

In NV at this time in 2016, the Party Affiliation of D and R was as follows

D = 39.8% (646,339 registered voters)
R = 33.0% (535,782 registered voters)

6.8% difference in favor of D

Large increase among Independents from 254,149 (17.5%) registered voters in 2012 to 334,960 (20.6%) registered voters in 2016.

Again, this is favorable for Team Trump!

At least these numbers have the benefit of being drawn from the states' voting tallies themselves. Not sure exactly how a big increase in independents factors as favourable to Trump, but the pre-polling to me indicates a good deal of Republican enthusiasm and at worst swings away from the Democrats.

God save us from people who mean well. -storm

Post: #44214

I've often told libertarians that they won't amount to shit unless each libertarian converts 29 people to libertarianism. (Current assumed 2% libertarian population times 30x increase due to conversion equals 60% libertarian population.)

But Paracelsus just showed that libertarians only have a 0.5% population in NC, which makes the proper conversion number 119.

Anyone who helps me troll libertarians more painfully is awesome on my book. Thanks.

Post: #44215

(10-19-2016 11:49 PM)iop890 Wrote:  Can't trick the Malik!

Malik Obama = BEST OBAMA!

Post: #44216

I have to wonder how many reporters are going to cotton on to the idea that when the nukes fall that the odds of them getting a spot in the presidential bunker last second are very fucking low.

I wonder how many of those reporters aren't going to cotton on to that until they are literally watching the nukes fall.

Post: #44217

(10-20-2016 02:41 AM)RawGod Wrote:  

(10-19-2016 11:49 PM)iop890 Wrote:  Can't trick the Malik!

Malik Obama = BEST OBAMA!

We even have the best Obamas don't we folks?

Post: #44218

Something to keep in mind re:Clinton, polling and risk management. According to the polls, Clinton is in front from anywhere between 7 and 10 points. With such a big 'lead' attending the final debate was a huge risk.

To provide an analogy: Let's say for example, the New England Patriots are in the final 15 seconds of the Superbowl, up by 1 point with one play to go. Their opponents, the Giants have no time outs. At this point in time, the Patriots can take a knee, run out the clock and celebrate their victory... In this analogy, Clinton's team are saying, "No, we are going to throw a Hail Mary" by attending the final debate.

So my question is thus.... If you're winning, why put yourself in a situation to potentially lose by debating? Why give an opening to your opposition? I'll tell you why: It's because she isn't winning. The polls are bullshit. She's behind and this debate was her hail mary. She needed it. He didn't.

In the words of Mr. Donald J Trump: You know it. I know it. Everyone knows it.

Post: #44219

Political parties do their own polling.
I'm pretty sure they laugh (or cry) at what they see.

Post: #44220

Jared Wyand on Twitter, "I honestly have no idea if Trump is saying bigly or big league. I think he uses both just to mess with everyone."

I think he's right, which means he just solved this election's most enduring mystery.

Post: #44221

Wow...

The media spin is so fucking predictable and organized, Joseph Goebbels would be impressed.

Even the "Conservative" paper in my city is spewing garbage about how "Trump Blew It" and "Vintage Hillary Clinton Won".

"Vintage Hillary"? Really? Can her most die hard sycophant name ONE good thing she's EVER done? ONE? "Vintage"?

If it wasn't for the sports section, I basically wouldn't read any papers; looks like I'll be skipping that too. Fuck these delusional cucks.

The whole thing is a coordinated effort to delegitimize The Don's pending victory.

Post: #44222

More polling garbage:

Yougov does a D+18 sample to get Hitlery! a 4 point lead.

Reuters with a D+14 can only get "her" to +4 as well.

Post: #44223

When you see RATS firebomb a Republican office, just remember Reconstruction when they torched black churches.

It's in their blood.

Post: #44224

The only reason you want one candidate to confirm he will accept the outcome of the election and not ask the other candidate the same is when you want one candidate to accept a stolen election.

Post: #44225

I always laugh when I enter this thread, and I have to pass through the first page, and see Wastelanders cuckpost