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Stock Market 2015
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Peregrine Offline
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Post: #276
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-07-2015 12:21 PM)MaleDefined Wrote:  Deepdiver,

You seem very adamant about a significant loss in value on the market in the near future.

I don't pretend to be an expert investor, besides a dollar cost average investment strategy that goes like clockwork.

If you could provide a strategy for a more passive investor for the next year, I'm sure many other members in addition to myself would appreciate it.

http://mikaelsyding.com/how-to-build-a-p...portfolio/

He suggests four different methods based on your personal situation. I've tended to employ trend following, but am looking to move towards quattro stagione.
08-07-2015 05:39 PM
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lavidaloca Offline
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Post: #277
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-07-2015 04:50 PM)SunW Wrote:  
(08-07-2015 03:11 PM)samsamsam Wrote:  I was thinking about this in the car. More about just dramatic events that cause markets to panic. People are saying you should have money in gold, real estate, different accounts. I believe diversification is a good thing.

But realistically if something bad happens it is going to be a dramtic move, right? Or is it s slow grind over a couple of years. What I am trying to say is, a dramatic move over a night or a month. Cash is still king, unless you banks gone. So it isn't like inflation kicks in overnight and your money loses half its value.

If it is a 2 year event, I guess I could see money losing value due to inflation etc.

But really, if you want to be well prepared for the next crash of sorts, be in cash. As long as your bank doesn't screw you over.

Is my thinking off?

I think you're on the money.

The way I look at it with cash and inflation is that cash provides liquidity to get good deals, and these deals may not even be stocks or real estate or even commodities. Think of an item that never expires but that we're going to need for the next forty years. You see that item at the store one day and it's 90% off and you have plenty of cash to buy a 40 year supply of it without breaking the bank.

If the product goes back up to its normal price, or inflation goes high again, you got a strong return because you saved time without needing to visit the store in the future to buy the product and you saved money because you got it at a deep discount. That's similar to the logic of buying stocks on sale.

It depends on your situation. Someone with a lot of equities isn't going to want to sell them in a protectionist move as you'd likely trigger lots of capital gains.

There has been 13 year bull market before. If you sold out and waited 6 years you'd lose out on a ton of gains. None of us have any idea how long the bull will continue. Why bother trying to time the market as that's a fools game.
08-07-2015 06:44 PM
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Post: #278
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-07-2015 04:50 PM)SunW Wrote:  
(08-07-2015 03:11 PM)samsamsam Wrote:  I was thinking about this in the car. More about just dramatic events that cause markets to panic. People are saying you should have money in gold, real estate, different accounts. I believe diversification is a good thing.

But realistically if something bad happens it is going to be a dramtic move, right? Or is it s slow grind over a couple of years. What I am trying to say is, a dramatic move over a night or a month. Cash is still king, unless you banks gone. So it isn't like inflation kicks in overnight and your money loses half its value.

If it is a 2 year event, I guess I could see money losing value due to inflation etc.

But really, if you want to be well prepared for the next crash of sorts, be in cash. As long as your bank doesn't screw you over.

Is my thinking off?

I think you're on the money.

The way I look at it with cash and inflation is that cash provides liquidity to get good deals, and these deals may not even be stocks or real estate or even commodities. Think of an item that never expires but that we're going to need for the next forty years. You see that item at the store one day and it's 90% off and you have plenty of cash to buy a 40 year supply of it without breaking the bank.

If the product goes back up to its normal price, or inflation goes high again, you got a strong return because you saved time without needing to visit the store in the future to buy the product and you saved money because you got it at a deep discount. That's similar to the logic of buying stocks on sale.

That's what I thought. I just remember, sort of, all the stagflation/inflation talk from decades ago where people were all fearful of their dollars losing value. But if the world's economies collapse, I imagine shit gets cheaper. Not more expensive. Inflation would be the farthest thing from a person's mind. Fear mongerers want you to buy gold, but that fluctuates in value. A dollar (sorry for the US centric view) will still be a dollar for at least a few months, I imagine.

Not trying to beat a dead horse. Part of this questioning is to make sure I have my parents set up right. Which seems to be, keep them in cash, don't buy more stocks and wait.

Fate whispers to the warrior, "You cannot withstand the storm." And the warrior whispers back, "I am the storm."

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08-07-2015 07:12 PM
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Post: #279
RE: Stock Market 2015
im buying insurance companies that are mostly in bonds.

WIA- For most of men, our time being masters of our own fate, kings in our own castles is short. Even those of us in the game will eventually succumb to ease of servitude rather than deal with the malaise of solitude
08-08-2015 12:42 PM
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Post: #280
RE: Stock Market 2015
I've been in the markets for almost a decade and I'll give some advice:

Timing the market
Nobody can time the market. If they did, it was pure luck. You can name Peter Schiff, Nouriel Roubini and a few others but they made a lot of mistakes too. There is not a single "guru" you should blindly follow.

Gold
It's a good place to conserve value. Kevin O'Leary gave an interest advice. He has 5% of his portfolio in Gold. Half in physical form and the other half in GLD shares. If the gold goes down, he buys some, if it goes up, he sells. Always maintaining his 5% of the portfolio.

Bitcoin
I made a decent money buying bitcoins in 2010-2011. I really believe in the concept but I wouldn't recommend investing in it because it's a gamble. If you like it (like me), you could make it up to 5% of your portfolio.

Stocks
Buy stocks that pay dividends. If it doesn't pay, don't bother. And buy the ones with a good history of paying dividends. There is a kind I need to mention. They're called Dividends Aristocrats. They have a history of paying rise-dividends for more than decades! They don't pay much (around 3%) on the first year, but if you keep the shares, after ten years, it will keep paying 7% (or more) and the shares will most-leikely grow in value. Those are stocks from companies everybody knows (Coca-Cola, 3M, etc). When you look for them, make sure the dividend growth is above the rate of inflation. Diebold was paying increasingly dividends for 60 years but it was a meager growth (well below inflation).
Diversify; it's just a matter of decreasing risk. If you had all your money in energy stocks, more likely your portfolio would be -35%. Don't put more than 20% of your portfolio in one sector.
Those stocks have a damn good proven record and belong to companies that are not going to bankrupt anytime soon. If the stock is down and you have liquidity, buy more (slowly)! You'll be buying a good asset ,cheap.
An analogy I make is the same as buying real estate (not taking mortgage into account). Even if the apartment/house goes down in value, you still get money out of rent.
My portfolio has more than 50 stocks. If a stock rises too much in certain period, I usually sell some shares. Then I buy more shares of the stocks who decreased more in price.

Covered Calls to improve yield
Sell options on stocks you already have! Worst case scenario, you sell the lovely stocks you own on the upside limiting your profit but pocketing money upfront (selling the options). Most likely the options expire worthless and you make money, keeping your stocks.

Which Brokerage?
I like the discount brokerage TradeKing. If you want to be savvy, there is a new app called Robin Hood that charges zero commission for trades. If you don't day-trade I would give it a try.


Another diversification would be P2P lending (maybe up to 5% of your portfolio?). Never used but website says you get decent yield.
Lending Club and Prosper.


That's my advice. You don't need luck, you need time.
(This post was last modified: 08-09-2015 03:50 PM by optimus.)
08-09-2015 03:42 PM
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samsamsam Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
Optimus, makes a great point that you need time. I think often people want the quick buck, big wins etc. As long as you can handle to the ups and downs and potential giant losses go for it. But time is great for paying down mortgages of rental properties, for increasing dividends, etc.

I have some good dividend stocks and I have used the DRIP plans to keep plowing back the dividends. Does add up over time.

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08-09-2015 05:25 PM
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SunW Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-09-2015 03:42 PM)optimus Wrote:  Bitcoin
I made a decent money buying bitcoins in 2010-2011. I really believe in the concept but I wouldn't recommend investing in it because it's a gamble. If you like it (like me), you could make it up to 5% of your portfolio.

Long story short, if someone's buying bitcoin hoping it goes up in value, they are currency speculating. That's it.

The way to make money consistently with bitcoin that is low risk is to lend bitcoins, similar to what some people do with LendingClub. So far this has been a good way to generate about a low-risk, 10% nominal value return.
(This post was last modified: 08-10-2015 10:15 AM by SunW.)
08-10-2015 10:14 AM
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optimus Offline
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Post: #283
RE: Stock Market 2015
I disagree in some points. Currency depends a lot on politics and it's hard to predict what those parasites are doing in closed doors. Rate hike, bail outs, employment statistics... You name it.

Bitcoin is a good concept but need improvements in making it easier for the masses. That didn't arrive yet (I believe). As I said, it's a gamble. I advise people to stay away from gambling unless they know what they are doing.
Lending bitcoins is so risky due to high fluctuations in the price so I highly advice against it.
08-11-2015 08:44 AM
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Savage Offline
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Post: #284
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-10-2015 10:14 AM)SunW Wrote:  The way to make money consistently with bitcoin that is low risk is to lend bitcoins, similar to what some people do with LendingClub. So far this has been a good way to generate about a low-risk, 10% nominal value return.

Have you ever lent out bitcoins before? if so how did you go about it?

The only service I have experience with is Bitfinex, where all your bitcoin loans will be tied to the current value of bitcoin. I wouldn't call that low risk, if you are lending bitcoins you are taking on additional risk compared to simply buying and holding them.

The current rates there are around 7% for bitcoin and 27% for USD. It's lower risk and better return just to lend USD where you're not tied to the price of bitcoin. Of course it's still not what I would call low-risk due to the counter-party risk of Bitfinex not returning funds.

Anyway I think Bitfinex is different to what you are talking about, as there is no risk of the debtor defaulting your loan as far as I know. I've never used LendingClub but if I understand correctly people can default on loans which would be yet another risk.
(This post was last modified: 08-11-2015 09:49 AM by Savage.)
08-11-2015 09:41 AM
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SunW Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-11-2015 09:41 AM)Savage Wrote:  Have you ever lent out bitcoins before? if so how did you go about it?

The only service I have experience with is Bitfinex, where all your bitcoin loans will be tied to the current value of bitcoin. I wouldn't call that low risk, if you are lending bitcoins you are taking on additional risk compared to simply buying and holding them.

The current rates there are around 7% for bitcoin and 27% for USD. It's lower risk and better return just to lend USD where you're not tied to the price of bitcoin. Of course it's still not what I would call low-risk due to the counter-party risk of Bitfinex not returning funds.

Anyway I think Bitfinex is different to what you are talking about, as there is no risk of the debtor defaulting your loan as far as I know. I've never used LendingClub but if I understand correctly people can default on loans which would be yet another risk.

First, holding on to bitcoins and hoping the value goes up is not investing at all. It is currency speculation period. It's the same as if I bought a bunch of AUDs because I thought that commodity prices had hit lows and eventually the AUD will rise. I may be right, but it's speculation, not an investment. An investment, by contrast, is an expected regular return and in many cases, a consistent return. Anyone can read Benjamin Graham's assessment on the difference, but this is just a summary.

BitLendingClub is an example of a site that rates bitcoin loans and an investor can invest in them. I'm assuming that investors use their brain and don't try to out smart the market (meaning they equally invest across low risk loan classes, like one thousandth of a bitcoin across one thousand loans). And yes, I've generated a decent 10% return even with about 10-15% defaulting. The interest rates are very high, which offset the loans that default.
08-11-2015 10:14 AM
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Post: #286
RE: Stock Market 2015
Tax is an important implication for long term investors. In Canada we can take advantage of the dividend tax rules and make nearly 50k tax free in some provinces if all of our income is from Canadian dividends. Now that would fund a pretty damn good lifestyle in SEA, SA, and EE!

Currency speculating never made sense to me. If you think logically someone will win and lose in every transaction. In stocks I mean the market goes up or it goes down. If it goes up everyone is winning. If it goes down most people are losing money.

It seems to me that something that has shown gains long term of 8%+ per year is a hell of a lot more attractive than something which is a 0% net gain.
(This post was last modified: 08-11-2015 11:23 AM by lavidaloca.)
08-11-2015 11:21 AM
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Deepdiver Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-07-2015 12:21 PM)MaleDefined Wrote:  Deepdiver,

You seem very adamant about a significant loss in value on the market in the near future.

I don't pretend to be an expert investor, besides a dollar cost average investment strategy that goes like clockwork.

If you could provide a strategy for a more passive investor for the next year, I'm sure many other members in addition to myself would appreciate it.

I am on vacation for the rest of August chasing deepwater Eastern Brook Trout and Migratory Ocean Striped bass - however I have been doing some research into this with 5 out of 6 of my most Optimistic newsletters and my retired hedge fund friend - the most reputable of all forecasting major corrections and even currency wars volatility I was thinking if TPSHTF the proverbial sludge hits the fan ... why not make a trading opp out of it?

My investment advisory newsletters all look at Global Trading opportunities since the USA now generates more than 50% of its global economic activity internationally:

Warning: Global Recession Now Imminent
By Dennis Slothower
Editor, Stealth Stocks Daily Alert

Stocks were absolutely smashed on Tuesday after China’s devalued its currency, signaling a growing concern of slow growth from one of the world’s biggest importers of raw materials. After moving sharply higher Monday, stocks completely reversed to the downside on Tuesday.
The major indexes climbed a bit off their worst levels going into the close but remained firmly in negative territory. The Dow tumbled 212 points (-1.2%) to 17,402, the Nasdaq plummeted 65 points (-1.3%) to 5,037 and the S&P 500 fell 20 points (-1.0%) to 2,084. The NYSE finished at -0.95% and the small cap Russell 2000 at -0.94%.
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved to the downside –Japan's Nikkei 225 Index fell by 0.4 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index edged down by 0.1 percent.
The major European markets saw greater weakness. While the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index dropped by 1.1 percent, the French CAC 40 Index plunged by 1.9 percent and the German DAX Index plummeted by 2.7 percent.

The sell-off came on the heels of news of the People's Bank of China's surprise move to devalue its currency. The bank set the value of the currency, known as the yuan or renminbi, at 6.2298 versus the U.S. dollar, 1.85 percent lower than Monday's official fixing rate.

The move raised concerns about the Chinese economy as well as the possibility that it could start a currency war.

China’s Dangerous Currency Decision
Following weak export and import data from China over the weekend, the communist nation once again sought to control its own currency by devaluing it in order to prop up its slowing economy. The Yuan posted its biggest one-day loss in two decades.

This set off a chain reaction of events.
1. It makes it more difficult for Janet Yellen and crew to raise interest rates in September now that China just cheapen its currencies and goods. Raising U.S. interest rates would strengthen the dollar and make our goods even less competitive. As a consequence, US government bonds rallied sharply Tuesday on the notion the government isn’t likely raise interest rates.
2. Crude oil prices fell to a six year low on the growing global weakness if China has to devaluate its currency like this.
3. This should set off a currency war as other countries seek to protect its markets. China could devalue its currency further.
4. It doesn’t bode well for U.S. companies that sell goods to the Chinese.
5. It argues that a global recession is imminent.

The Atlanta GDPNow model recently projects that lower inventory investment will subtract 1.7 percentage points from third quarter real GDP growth. There is a key reason why there is a lower inventory investment and that is because inventories are soaring to recessionary levels!

Goods are backing up. The key point to remember is that building inventories are subtracted from the GDP and we are now at similar levels as we saw in the recession of 2008 and 2000.
China sees a recession coming as well and may well be sacrificing something it has keenly wanted for a very long time – for the Yuan to be part of the IMF special drawing rights, “SPR” when this decision comes due in the fall.
One of the reasons why China was rejected in 2010 was its currency was not widely held by the world’s central banks because of their constant manipulating and devaluing of their currency. If you’re a central bank who wants to hold an unstable currency that is constantly being devaluated.

Tuesday’s devaluation hardly argues that China’s currency is stable. Perhaps China has given up on the idea the IMF will grant its currency SPR, with the U.S. having veto powers. On the other hand, U.S., Japan and Euro zone have all been devaluing their currencies over the last few years, as well.

Will IMF ruling crush U.S. dollar? (Expected Oct 20th)
Currency Expert: Watch what happens to U.S. Dollar after big announcement from the International Monetary Fund rumored for Oct. 20th. This announcement could start a domino effect, that will basically determine who in America gets rich in the years to come... and who struggles. This story is likely to explode in the months to come and initiate a transfer of wealth, unlike anything we've seen in more than three decades...

Get all the facts about this announcement – including the surprising country behind it all – right here.

Now we see a possible reason why President Obama set up the Pacific Rim trade agreement – to stop having to be so dependent on trading with China. Let’s give the jobs to illegal immigrants coming to America rather giving jobs to enrich China.

This devaluation helped to boost the U.S. dollar and it sent crude oil prices down sharply by $1.88 to close at $43.08 and making an intraday low of $42.69. Oil should find support at the winter lows at $42.03. This is key test. If we breach this support, next support levels are back down to the lows of December 2008 at $32 a barrel.

WTF $32 a barrel oil what does that do to Russia's 5 and 10 year economic plans - with Oil the Chinese Stock market and Yuan collapsing the Chinese reneged on a $25 Billion USD payment to Russia to kick off their $400 Billion pipelines and oil and natgaz fields joint exploration projects. So that's it for Putin's pivot towards the east. Putin's Grand Master status on the Global Geopolitical chessboard of life is now seriously in doubt. Can you say MEGAlomaniac FAIL?

Once again, the investment bankers kept the S&P 500 index above its 200-day moving average defending this support level while they can, while the broad market is clearly breaking down through key long-term supports.

I have 3 books on my desk:

1. The Death of Money - the Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System, James Rickards CIA Financial War Games facilitator.

2. America 2020 - The Survival Blueprint - Forward by Dr. Ron Paul - Author Porter Stansberry

3. Where to Stash your Cash Legally in Offshore Financial Centers of the World
Authors Robert Bauman and Ted Bauman of the Sovereign Society

Plus a number of newsletters with actionable information - will summarize the takeaways when I get a chance before the Mid Sept/Oct correction.
08-12-2015 11:48 AM
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ovo Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
Damn.. Apple -5% yesterday, Unilever -6% today. Taking some big hits. Still gonna hold though, should rebound after china fears and the greece situation have blown over.

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08-12-2015 02:30 PM
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SunW Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
I don't know about the overall percent of a correction, Deepdiver, but you certainly aren't out of line by suggesting that we may find ourselves in trouble. You and I may only differ by the amount of the overall correction, but there's a lot of reasons to be concerned.

Quote:Will IMF ruling crush U.S. dollar? (Expected Oct 20th)
Currency Expert: Watch what happens to U.S. Dollar after big announcement from the International Monetary Fund rumored for Oct. 20th. This announcement could start a domino effect, that will basically determine who in America gets rich in the years to come... and who struggles. This story is likely to explode in the months to come and initiate a transfer of wealth, unlike anything we've seen in more than three decades...

Get all the facts about this announcement – including the surprising country behind it all – right here.

Do they explain more on this? Or is this similar to the conclusions that Rickards comes to in his Death of Money book?
08-12-2015 03:20 PM
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Sleazy Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
I have been trading ETNs that track natural gas futures and making a fortune. Volatility is all you need to get rich.
08-16-2015 12:04 AM
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-16-2015 12:04 AM)Sleazy Wrote:  I have been trading ETNs that track natural gas futures and making a fortune. Volatility is all you need to get rich.

I understand trading is risky but what exactly are you doing and looking for?

Fate whispers to the warrior, "You cannot withstand the storm." And the warrior whispers back, "I am the storm."

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08-16-2015 12:09 AM
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-16-2015 12:09 AM)samsamsam Wrote:  
(08-16-2015 12:04 AM)Sleazy Wrote:  I have been trading ETNs that track natural gas futures and making a fortune. Volatility is all you need to get rich.

I understand trading is risky but what exactly are you doing and looking for?

I am a stockbroker and professional trader. I can't disclose information about how I trade these types of things as per NDAs but what I can tell you is that is is just as easy if not easier to make money in a bear market as it is a bull market. Study your technical indicators before and after work and as long as you have a brain you will be fine. Remember: professionals take money from suckers. Don't be the sucker.
08-16-2015 06:58 PM
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DVY Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
Just got on Interactive Brokers. 1.64% margin rates from 0-100k margin loan. It only goes lower for bigger sums.

Yes please.

Im sticking to reg T margin so I don't feel tempted to overdo it, but they do offer portfolio margin.

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08-17-2015 04:59 PM
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-12-2015 11:48 AM)Deepdiver Wrote:  2. America 2020 - The Survival Blueprint - Forward by Dr. Ron Paul - Author Porter Stansberry

It is important to understand that Porter Stansberry is a scare mongering fraud.

The Securities and Exchange Commission sued him for allegedly fraudulent practices toward his clients. As a result, Stansberry was "ordered to pay $1.5 million in restitution and civil penalties for disseminating false stock information and defrauding public investors through a financial newsletter," according to The Baltimore Sun :

http://articles.baltimoresun.com/2007-08...ial-report

If RVF members are taking investment ideas from anyone else I urge them to investigate their background, and to obtain their audited investment returns over at least 10 years.
08-17-2015 07:46 PM
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(07-09-2015 07:17 AM)Steve9 Wrote:  I am adding new stock positions where I'm finding opportunities. For example yesterday I brought BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP) at $4.28. Their yield is around 11% at these prices.

Steve9, not trying to bring up anything bad, was just wondering what you were doing with your position? Adding, sold or sitting tight?

Just curious thanks.

Fate whispers to the warrior, "You cannot withstand the storm." And the warrior whispers back, "I am the storm."

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08-17-2015 08:02 PM
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-17-2015 08:02 PM)samsamsam Wrote:  
(07-09-2015 07:17 AM)Steve9 Wrote:  I am adding new stock positions where I'm finding opportunities. For example yesterday I brought BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP) at $4.28. Their yield is around 11% at these prices.

Steve9, not trying to bring up anything bad, was just wondering what you were doing with your position? Adding, sold or sitting tight?

Just curious thanks.

Sitting tight. After the oil slump in late 2008, BBEP gained over 300% in two years.

However, if oil does not recover by the end of 2016, I would expect BBEP to eliminate its distribution.
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2015 09:14 PM by Steve9.)
08-17-2015 09:05 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #297
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-17-2015 07:46 PM)Steve9 Wrote:  
(08-12-2015 11:48 AM)Deepdiver Wrote:  2. America 2020 - The Survival Blueprint - Forward by Dr. Ron Paul - Author Porter Stansberry

It is important to understand that Porter Stansberry is a scare mongering fraud.

The Securities and Exchange Commission sued him for allegedly fraudulent practices toward his clients. As a result, Stansberry was "ordered to pay $1.5 million in restitution and civil penalties for disseminating false stock information and defrauding public investors through a financial newsletter," according to The Baltimore Sun :

http://articles.baltimoresun.com/2007-08...ial-report

If RVF members are taking investment ideas from anyone else I urge them to investigate their background, and to obtain their audited investment returns over at least 10 years.

I hear what you are saying so either Stansberry conned Dr. Ron paul for an endorsement or Dr. Ron Paul did his due diligence and Stansberry is trying to redeem himself by putting a solid SHTF plan together with Dr. Ron Paul. Ron Paul is one of the most honorable men in the USA if he is warning about a serious Debt Bubble meltdown I am going to read what he has to say and pay attention - just saying.
08-17-2015 10:01 PM
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Deepdiver Offline
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Post: #298
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-12-2015 03:20 PM)SunW Wrote:  I don't know about the overall percent of a correction, Deepdiver, but you certainly aren't out of line by suggesting that we may find ourselves in trouble. You and I may only differ by the amount of the overall correction, but there's a lot of reasons to be concerned.

Quote:Will IMF ruling crush U.S. dollar? (Expected Oct 20th)
Currency Expert: Watch what happens to U.S. Dollar after big announcement from the International Monetary Fund rumored for Oct. 20th. This announcement could start a domino effect, that will basically determine who in America gets rich in the years to come... and who struggles. This story is likely to explode in the months to come and initiate a transfer of wealth, unlike anything we've seen in more than three decades...

Get all the facts about this announcement – including the surprising country behind it all – right here.

Do they explain more on this? Or is this similar to the conclusions that Rickards comes to in his Death of Money book?

Ironically this is the latest email that came in this weekend from Jim Rickards regarding his new IMPACT system - seems he expects a number of trading opportunities in the coming volatility and markets chaos:

HI, JIM RICKARDS HERE...
In less than 30 seconds, I am going to introduce you to IMPACT investing… and I promise your life will not be the same afterward.
IMPACT is a new proprietary strategy I've created to give you the opportunity for extraordinary 1,000% gains (or more) from the ongoing currency wars — in a safer way than how most people invest in stocks.
• Imagine making 530% in less than eight months from a major move of the U.S. dollar…
• Or making 848% in less than seven months from the euro…
• Or making an incredible 2,196% in 10 days from the Swiss franc…
First… it's important that you understand this really may be the ONLY time you ever get an opportunity to witness this one-of-kind proprietary trading secret…
Why?
Because IMPACT originated with systems and techniques that I developed for the CIA and Department of Defense to detect and predict terrorist activity.
(In fact, when back-tested by the intelligence officials, my systems would have predicted the 9-11 attacks… days before they actually happened.)
And frankly, if it comes down to national security, I reserve the right to pull this page down at any time. So please, if you're at all interested, don't put this aside.
For the past six months, I’ve put aside all my other projects to develop a whole new way of making money.
We call it the IMPACT system… and using back-tested data, it’s the only way we’ve ever found to reliably and predictably secure an average gain of as much as 1,657% among a set of winning trades from the currency market.
Of course, these are all examples of past trades. There’s no way I’m going to promise you’ll make 1,000%-plus returns on each and every trade or that you’ll never see a loser. And there’s no guaranteeing you’d be able to catch all of these trades.
Even so, I believe this is the most powerful strategy you will ever find to profit from currency wars.
Because we both know “currency wars” are here to stay and will only intensify moving into the future…
If you’ve read my bestselling books or research, then you’ve seen these how these global skirmishes are now fought using money instead of tanks and fighter planes.
But even if you’ve never read my work, you probably smelled something “fishy” going on with the U.S. dollar and the Federal Reserve.
That’s where IMPACT comes in…

PM me if you want a copy of the full "Impact" Pitch.
08-17-2015 10:12 PM
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Steve9 Offline
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RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-17-2015 10:12 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  Ironically this is the latest email that came in this weekend from Jim Rickards regarding his new IMPACT system - seems he expects a number of trading opportunities in the coming volatility and markets chaos:

HI, JIM RICKARDS HERE...
In less than 30 seconds, I am going to introduce you to IMPACT investing… and I promise your life will not be the same afterward.
IMPACT is a new proprietary strategy I've created to give you the opportunity for extraordinary 1,000% gains (or more) from the ongoing currency wars — in a safer way than how most people invest in stocks.
• Imagine making 530% in less than eight months from a major move of the U.S. dollar…
• Or making 848% in less than seven months from the euro…
• Or making an incredible 2,196% in 10 days from the Swiss franc…
First… it's important that you understand this really may be the ONLY time you ever get an opportunity to witness this one-of-kind proprietary trading secret…

Creating a trading strategy that works on past data is very easy. Applying that system to the present/future is totally different story.

I understand Rickards IMPACT strategy is buying puts or calls on ETFs that are plays on foreign currencies like the Yen, Euro, etc.

Deepdiver, if you do pay for this service (I believe entry level is around $1500), make sure they offer a full refund because I think there is a good probability that this strategy will end up losing your money.
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2015 10:48 PM by Steve9.)
08-17-2015 10:46 PM
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Sleazy Offline
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Post: #300
RE: Stock Market 2015
(08-17-2015 04:59 PM)DVY Wrote:  Just got on Interactive Brokers. 1.64% margin rates from 0-100k margin loan. It only goes lower for bigger sums.

Yes please.

Im sticking to reg T margin so I don't feel tempted to overdo it, but they do offer portfolio margin.

What is minimum NAV for margin to kick in though? You can have a margin account but no margin buying power.
08-18-2015 08:51 PM
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