(05-28-2017 06:48 PM)Satoshi Wrote: https://cryptowat.ch/bitstamp/btcusd <- showing red candle on one week. GMT has passed already.
That is strange. I see what you are saying.
I showed you my reference link with bitcoinwisdom, and you showed me your reference with cryptowatch, and they are giving different information regarding the color of the weekly candles.
The bitcoinwisdom candle just closed green a few minutes ago, and it looked like the opening price was $2030, so price would have had to go below $2030 for the candle to turn red.
I don't understand the Cryptowatch weekly candle, because it appears to still be open, but it seems to require $2427 before the weekly candle would turn green. I don't know what time the candle closes or is going to close (because it still appears to be open).
Whenever I discuss these candles, and when I see them discussed, I believe that they are going by midnight GMT...
It is the same with the daily weighted average charts that come out. They seem to close around midnight GMT.
Today's have not posted yet, but frequently dooglus will update soon after midnight GMT for that day's daily weighted average.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=...sg19232846
(05-28-2017 06:48 PM)Satoshi Wrote: I agree with most of the rest of your post the first resonable you posted for a long time. But I disagree with your odds of breaking up/down. Will have to see about that.
I don't see anything wrong with disagreeing or even concluding that some predictions are reasonable or not.
Just note that I almost never talk in terms of certainty with regards to the future. If we are talking about the past, then that is a different story because frequently we can assert more things as certain, once they have past - even though we might find some facts to have more weight and disagree about the significance or relevance of certain facts of the past.
So, take my discussion from a few days ago, once the price meaningfully broke above $2500, it increased the odds considerably that we would make it into the $3k to $5k arena - on the other hand, we all know that nothing is certain, until it happens..
Even at the price point that we were at $2700-ish, I do not recall assigning any kind of exact probabilities to reaching $3k, but I recall asserting that the odds were pretty good.. which if I would have been pressed, I may have asserted 65% or or something like that - which is really good in bitcoinlandia... but we all know that $65 is not the same as 100% and it is not the same as 90%, either...
Anyhow, my selling on the way up remains in very small increments, and I have been waiting for a correction for a long fucking time... finally correction to below $2k is really great for me, personally, - even though I probably have not bought enough BTC. My percentage went from 89% to nearly 92%... but I still have a lot of cash, and I would not mind some additional correction - even though I don't care if it goes up either (actually, better for me, if it goes up.. but I try to set my portfolio to be somewhat neutral in terms of my personal preferences).
(05-28-2017 06:48 PM)Satoshi Wrote: Hope no guys took your advise seriously and bought at those prices.
I don't know. I give the same advice to anyone that I meet, which is not really advice regarding specifics.. but if they want to get in then they have to devise a strategy that starts right away rather than waiting. That is my advice. Start right away, and tweak along the way. that does not mean that you need to buy right away, but make yourself a plan right away.
On the other hand, people gotta do what they believe is correct based on their own circumstances. and, they also need to 100% take responsibility for their own plan.. whether they agree with my strategy or some variation of my strategy. The more that I know about someone's circumstances will help me to be more specific in giving a suggestion about what they should do, but until then, my suggestions are somewhat generic and based on some hypothetical case of someone who wants to get in right away and has a certain allocated budget and a certain expected cash flow that he is going to allocate to BTC.
In the end, the guy does whatever he believes is correct for his situation. and good luck with that and buy buy buy!!!!!.. .
(don't take this last excited exclamation as investment advices)
(05-28-2017 06:48 PM)Satoshi Wrote: There have been quite a few newcomers in this thread lately.
So? They need to take responsibilty for themselves, and don't rely on information in a interwebs.
Take information from the interwebs with a grain of salt and formulate your own conclusion and do your own due diligence..
I am not taking responsibility for some guy soley relying on something that I say...
Even if the guy directly asks me a question and I answer the question, I am giving my personal opinion.. The guy needs to figure out whether that works for him.... or if he thinks my considerations work for him.
(05-28-2017 06:48 PM)Satoshi Wrote: Need to think a bit before giving buying recommendations at all time highs while you're selling yourself.
No I don't. I am giving my opinion.Guys can buy, sell, short, hold.. do whatever they like.
You seem to be reading too much into whatever I am saying and trying to suggest that I am doing something other than what I am doing. You want to divert the topic in some kind of lecture of me, which seems to be a bit off topic, and if you want to bring it to PM, that's fine.
(05-28-2017 06:48 PM)Satoshi Wrote: So how much did you sell now? And why did you sell if you were so sure that we would break $3000 ?
You are mischaracterizing me on an ongoing basis.
Currently I am selling in increments about 1% for every 10% rise in price. I don't really change my strategy too much, except that I try to accumulate, so sometimes I will buy back a bit more than I sold, especially if the price drops are big.
On the other hand, probably my intended plan is to sell more once the price goes above $4k.. that is if the price goes above $4k.. that tentative plan may or may not work.. but I do like to attempt to plan an outline before the market moves there.
These past couple of weeks have been amazing... I kept having to set my sell orders higher and higher and higher.. because the price kept going higher and higher... and I feel pretty good about just sticking with the plan because sometimes in the past, I would deviate from my plan because the market would move way more rapidly than I expected, and I was not prepared. Even though I was still nervous while the price was going up, this time, I did not really need to deviate so much from my plan.. which was largely sticking to about a 1% selling rate for every 10% rise... Once price goes above $4k, I might structure 2% or 3% or even higher for ever 10% rise or maybe figure some other way of framing the issue..
exciting times ahead, boys!!!!
Anyhow, first we are in the $1950 to $2350 price arena.. so let's see which way we go from here first before getting too excited about the next step. One step at a time, but still exciting times in cryptoland and a good time to make some kind of plan to get involved in some way, whether that is going long or short or just looking into the matter.