There's no reason that you need to attempt to be competitive about these kinds of topics, Satoshi, and yeah we are going to see how all of these various crypto currencies play out, whether they are called a crypto currency or a new kind of asset.
I have no problem about your expressing your views regarding why you believe bitcoin is going to fail as compared to some other crypto, but do you have some kind of reason that you feel that you need to be an absolutist in your manner of presenting your viewpoint?
I concede that your views could still play out to be correct, but from my thinking the odds seem to be quite a bit less than 50% that you are correct, as compared with the way that things seem to be playing out......
We could also discuss the questions in terms of proposed timelines...
For example:
Will bitcoin fail in 1 year, 5 years or 10 years..?
or
Will some alt coin take over bitcoin's king of crypto place in 1 year, 5 years or 10 years?
Of course, there are different ways to specifically present these kinds of questions, without just making conclusory assertions.
I personally believe that the answer regarding assigned probabilities is a bit different depending on which questions you are asking and about which alt coin you are discussing. The answer to each of these kinds of questions are not 100% yes and 100% no as you seem to be asserting, respectively to the above questions, Satoshi.
(06-09-2016 03:52 PM)Satoshi Wrote: Henry Brade seems to be a bag holder.
"7. The solutions to the scaling issues of Bitcoin exist and are progressing"
Yep, there are a lot of scaling solutions for bitcoin currently in the works, and seg wit is the nearest to being implemented.
The XT/Classic supporters may be a big vocal group in their ongoing screaming that bitcoin does not scale, but really they are losing a lot of their credibility in the space. So, just because some of these kinds of loud bitcoin is dead folks have been very vocal in the bitcoin community does not mean that they are correct in either their facts or their logic.
In fact, there is no real evidence to establish that bitcoin is currently in any kind of scaling crisis nor any emergency situation (as these naysayers frequently are inclined to assert).
In fact some of these bitcoin naysayers had been attempting to undermine bitcoin and to change it's governance while asserting that the scaling issue is a problem... Kind of a made up assertion. In that regard, they don't even give a shit about bitcoin's scaling, but they are using that as a talking point in order to cause bitcoin to be more easily changed, or forked.
Actually, bitcoin's difficulties in causing changes to its governance and technical issues is a feature of bitcoin rather than a bug that makes bitcoin much more secure because the loud mouths in the minority do not easily cause changes to bitcoin's protocol in spite their ongoing complaining and feeble attempts at mustering negative bitcoin press, unless they can convince an overwhelming majority of bitcoin stake holders (in this case core supporters) that such proposed change(s) is(are) needed and not controversial.
The XT and Classic proponent loud mouths have failed to establish their case, but they keep crying even though it is seeming more and more clear that they were full of nonsense in their various assertions regarding bitcoin being "broken."
(06-09-2016 03:52 PM)Satoshi Wrote: "9. Bitcoin is getting smarter smart contracts than Ethereum"
Trying to stop the boat from sinking. Might work for a while but sooner or later the ship will be on the bottom on the sea. Maybe then you'd start to do some reading on the way superior alternatives.
Regarding smart contracts, there is a lot of development in a lot of different spaces. We cannot really know for sure how it is going to play out because there are even competing private sector ventures, too, beyond what Ethereum is doing.
Some of this will likely be absorbed by bitcoin, and no matter what there remains a considerable amount of value in the amount of computing power that goes into securing the bitcoin network - no matter what application and/or innovation is built upon it, whether directly or indirectly through some innovative allegedly "superior alternative"