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Satoshi · 2015-08-16 05:32:00 · #2182
I just woke up to see price below $260 so transferred all my BTC I've bought during the last 7 months to dump. Still waiting for the transactions to clear. Not a block has been mined the last 40 minutes. And kraken requires 3 conformations.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-16 13:31:00 · #2183
(08-15-2015 09:16 PM)yolo Wrote:  I put in 1 bitcoin for shits in giggles over a year ago into the Ethereum presale, and it netted me 12+ BTC a year later. Not bad return.
I think Ethereum has a solid community behind them, with dozens of meet-ups across the world. I have high hopes.
Personally, I'm going to wait until the volatility goes down post-IPO and hopefully re-invest at a lower rate, ~0.004 BTC per ether.
Ethereum is much more complex than Bitcoin, but is still based on similar core principles of blockchain, etc.
So there are more places where things can go wrong.
Where Bitcoin is just a blockchain for one simple currency transactions app, Ethereum is a block-chain custom language for creating many such blockchain-based/decentralized apps.
In theory, Ethereum is the next progression or evolution of Bitcoin/blockchain technologies.
If it doesn't break down somewhere in practice, technically, i.e., security vulnerability, and if its community continues to stay active, I think there's huge potential.

I largely agree with you Yolo, and it seems that you are following Ethereum much more than me, especially, if you have taken measures to buy and sell some.

At this point, I personally have NOT been buying and selling any other Cryptos besides Bitcoin, except a year and a half ago, I bought some of various random other cryptos that were then being traded through BTC-e.

I have continued to stay away from various alt currencies for similar reasons, and that is based on momentum. Surely, there may be a lot of potential to make a lot of money through many of them including ethereum, monero, safemaid, etc, and some of them may have a lot of technological extra contributions, but in the end, bitcoin remains the king of the road of cryptos and that has to do with first player advantage and the amount of network that has been built around bitcoin.

Further, bitcoin has already been the target of many attacks, which have caused increases in its security rather than lessening.. and in that regard, bitcoin, has way more computer and security than it's current price point... and today is in a much better position to sustain a $1,000 to $10,000 price point, as compared to where it was 2 years ago, when it did reach the $1,200 price point.

As many recall, there had already been quite a few shenanigans in Ethereum's history, and Ethereum is only about two years old... accordingly, the fund raising and the use of the millions of dollars of fund raising causes questions about whether Ethereum is still fairly young and may continue to go through several more growing pains of shenanigans, prior to becoming big and developed enough to have evolved systems and measures to safeguard against some of these kinds of problems.

The growing pains of any system is the problem of increasing value causing incentives for bad people to attack and incentives to extract value from a system that does NOT have securities already tested. In my view, Bitcoin remains in a better place, at this point, to have already been attacked many times and will likely be able to continue to sustain attacks, if and when they continue to come.



(08-15-2015 08:38 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  What's your thought about Ethereum, JJG?


Satoshi: Tell us your thoughts regarding Ethereum. I'm sure that you have thoughts about it's mid to long term potentials, as well, and you are likely a whole hell of a lot more informed (especially regarding the technical aspects and maybe some of the ongoing happenings of ethereum) than me.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-16 13:42:00 · #2184
(08-16-2015 05:32 AM)Satoshi Wrote:  I just woke up to see price below $260 so transferred all my BTC I've bought during the last 7 months to dump. Still waiting for the transactions to clear. Not a block has been mined the last 40 minutes. And kraken requires 3 conformations.



I am NOT so convinced about selling in a downtrend... and regarding where is the bottom of the downtrend based on current news and concerns about forking, etc.... Variations of this forking issue has been in the news for a few weeks, it seems.... and I do NOT see any new developments that really justify a clear signal that BTC prices are going to continue to go down... as far as I know, $255 could be the bottom.

MY continued strategy, regarding bitcoin, remains deciding when, exactly, to buy more.

Surely, it is possible that BTC prices will continue to go down and to breach $250 and even lower price points.... yet I am NOT convinced.....

Satoshi, if you sold around $260, then where would you buy back in? Around $230? I understand that when you buy back and at what point you buy back is in part determined by how long a downtrend continues... and surely, you would be able to rest more assured that you did the right thing, so long as prices go below $250; however, if prices do NOT go below $250, then BTC prices may begin to trend back upwards, and then you have to decide, at what point, if at all, to buy back in.

I may buy some more in the coming days if price goes back below $255... depending upon when or if I catch it... In about the last 8 hours, BTC prices have been hovering between $255 and $257.... yet the trend over the past couple weeks has generally been down... though the trend over the past 3 months is generally up...

These different trends, depending on the chosen timeline affects my thinking about what to do, and generally, I consider all of the $200 price points to be very good buy value for BTC.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-16 14:58:00 · #2185
Here's a link to an older article (from January 2015) discussing the current BTC fork "crisis."

http://qntra.net/2015/01/the-hard-fork-missile-crisis/
Satoshi · 2015-08-16 19:11:00 · #2186
I'm not really planing to buy back in since I don't think that the price will rise again, and if it does I do believe that it will be just temporary. As I've been writing about earlier in the thread there is many flaws with bitcoins. The block size was one of them. Even if that's been solved now it increases another problem instead, blockchain size. Bitcoin mining is pretty much centralized theses days. Though the biggest problem is having to wait for blocks for transactions to confirm. I had to wait more than one hour for my kraken deposit to clear. It's just a little bit too annoying. A little bit too much 2009. Outdated technology.

Etereum is up and running and seems to be working fine. Twelve seconds blocks in much better than ten, however it's still worse than instant. Etereum protocol is cool and there seems to be lots of possibilities for different types of applications to be built on it. However I do not really see why I should have to hold ether coins myself. They are said to "fuel" the contracts, and how that works, I don't know. Me myself, personaly, have no direct interest in making contracts on the etereum blockchain today, so I don't have any interest in buying the coins today, except for speculating and at this moment the price seems to be all over the place. And I don't think most people buying ether coins have any interest in making contracts either, so price is pretty much speculations.

I've bought 7.7BTC for a price of €1664 the last six-seven months. Today I'm selling 7BTC for the same price. So a small BTC profit on those trades. As for the coins I bought in early 2013, the ones remaining I've used to buy MAIDSAFE. I'm holding quite a lot of MAIDSAFE coins, I've been considering buying more of them for the remaining 7BTC, but I decided not to do so. I still don't know what I will do for the €1664, just having some extra cash in the bank for spending will be enough I guess.

I've been following MAIDSAFE since IPO and I've been writing about it earlier in this thread so I won't write anything more about it. Development seems to be going great so I'm even more bullish than before.

If BTC goes to $32.000 I'll regret selling today. However I do think that the chances of that is really small, if not none exciting. Chances of double digits is bigger, in my opinion. I'm almost writing this with a tear in my eye.

Looking in my email inbox the earliest bitcoin related mail I got is from first of November 2012 when I bought 5.56BTC for a price of €56.33. I'm pretty sure that I bought those coins to imminently spend on silk road. It took me a few more months to buy and hold. Of course I regret I didn't sell more when price was over $1000, I could have sold and bought a nice car or a two-three years full time traveling back then. Still I've been lucky and made a quite big fiat profit. Selling the coins I bought in the last months also with a profit, yet small, feels good. If it drops a bit more I will be in the red for this last coins and I don't want that.

I know one thing for sure and that is that the day one crypto currency is ready to go mainstream, the business is already there. Kraken added etereum in the first day and selling ether for € is as easy as selling bitcoins for €. Wouldn't take too much effort for coinbase or bitpay to add ether either.
brg444 · 2015-08-17 00:37:00 · #2187
(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  Shrinked balls blabber

You are unworthy of your username.

Quote:Though the biggest problem is having to wait for blocks for transactions to confirm. I had to wait more than one hour for my kraken deposit to clear. It's just a little bit too annoying. A little bit too much 2009. Outdated technology.

Your "concerns" are so 2009, it's a wonder you've held this long seeing as how little your thought process has evolved.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-17 02:14:00 · #2188
(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  I'm not really planing to buy back in since I don't think that the price will rise again, and if it does I do believe that it will be just temporary. As I've been writing about earlier in the thread there is many flaws with bitcoins. The block size was one of them. Even if that's been solved now it increases another problem instead, blockchain size. Bitcoin mining is pretty much centralized theses days. Though the biggest problem is having to wait for blocks for transactions to confirm. I had to wait more than one hour for my kraken deposit to clear. It's just a little bit too annoying. A little bit too much 2009. Outdated technology.

To me, your thoughts sound a bit erratic, and maybe you are somewhat biased by some kind of desire to make money in the short term, rather than investing in the long term. There is NOTHING wrong with having a desire for quicker returns, but I really see no logic in denigrating bitcoin in the process. In other words, you seem to be over exaggerating thoughts about some kind of upcoming calamity in bitcoin, and really, it is NOT likely to be all that you are making it out to be...

In the past nearly 9 months, there have been tests after tests after tests of bitcoin and attempts to drive the price below $200... and we had $200 for a day or even less than a day... and then there were additional tests to bring it lower than that... surely, in the last 9 months we have only spent a few days above $300, but in the near future, bitcoin is again going above $300 and again into the thousands of dollars.... maybe it will take a year or two, but it will be going up in the near future, because there really is NO other crypto currency competition that even comes in the ball park of being near to the infrastructure built around bitcoin.....

Whatever you are calling centralization in Bitcoin is NOT even close to centralization.... Surely, there are a lot of entities that are centralized that are trying to get a piece of the bitcoin pie.. and there are also a lot of big players (pools) that are investing in bitcoin mining... but hardly centralized, and that is part of the reason why we are getting a bit of politics and a fork battle and some uncertainty and politicking in the attempts of the two sides to get their way in the outcome (which at this point still remains uncertain and causes negative BTC price pressures when there exists such uncertainties in what's going to happen with the fork).

In spite of all of this, BTC prices seem to be holding up well, and there are difficulties attempting to bring prices below $250.. in spite of a few apparent players dumping large quantities of coins that are getting absorbed by others in the BTC trading markets....






(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  Etereum is up and running and seems to be working fine. Twelve seconds blocks in much better than ten, however it's still worse than instant. Etereum protocol is cool and there seems to be lots of possibilities for different types of applications to be built on it. However I do not really see why I should have to hold ether coins myself. They are said to "fuel" the contracts, and how that works, I don't know. Me myself, personaly, have no direct interest in making contracts on the etereum blockchain today, so I don't have any interest in buying the coins today, except for speculating and at this moment the price seems to be all over the place. And I don't think most people buying ether coins have any interest in making contracts either, so price is pretty much speculations.


Surely, the price of Ethereum depends on a variety of factors, and investment into the coins (and potentially speculation) is part of that. Maybe it would NOT hurt to have a little bit of money in Ethereum, yet I do NOT mind keeping my money in bitcoin and to what the extent to which Ethereum may evolve in the coming years... and surely if some of the Ethereum investors become rich.. more the power to them.


(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  I've bought 7.7BTC for a price of €1664 the last six-seven months. Today I'm selling 7BTC for the same price. So a small BTC profit on those trades. As for the coins I bought in early 2013, the ones remaining I've used to buy MAIDSAFE. I'm holding quite a lot of MAIDSAFE coins, I've been considering buying more of them for the remaining 7BTC, but I decided not to do so. I still don't know what I will do for the €1664, just having some extra cash in the bank for spending will be enough I guess.

These kinds of comments cause me to believe that maybe you were just over extended in BTC for your own psychological comfort level.

Ultimately, in my thinking, it is better to be "in" various cryptos rather than in fiat, but in order to have that kind of mindset, a guy has to already have sufficient quantities of fiat and/or fiat cash flow. In fact for me, I am just continuing to invest into BTC.. but never too large of a percentage of my total cash flow in order that I can NOT really worry too much about the fiat investment.... so for example, in the last 6-8 months, I have had a few strains on my cash flow, but I was still able to put some continued and smaller percentage of my cash flow into btc... (not as much as previously, but that is mostly due to a few unexpected constraints in my fiat cash flow supply).

NOTE: nearly always, we have to be sufficiently prepared that from time to time, we may have unexpected occurrences and in that regard, the unexpected is expected and there are some safeguards in place to deal with such when they do occur.





(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  I've been following MAIDSAFE since IPO and I've been writing about it earlier in this thread so I won't write anything more about it. Development seems to be going great so I'm even more bullish than before.

If BTC goes to $32.000 I'll regret selling today. However I do think that the chances of that is really small, if not none exciting. Chances of double digits is bigger, in my opinion. I'm almost writing this with a tear in my eye.

There is NOTHING wrong with people having differing perspectives about the price direction. Surely, some bad things could happen in bitcoin, but I put those probabilities at a much lower likelihood than you do. Accordingly, I view the upside potential to be much greater than the downside potential... and surely, anyone can be wrong about these kinds of price prediction matters.






(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  Looking in my email inbox the earliest bitcoin related mail I got is from first of November 2012 when I bought 5.56BTC for a price of €56.33. I'm pretty sure that I bought those coins to imminently spend on silk road. It took me a few more months to buy and hold. Of course I regret I didn't sell more when price was over $1000, I could have sold and bought a nice car or a two-three years full time traveling back then. Still I've been lucky and made a quite big fiat profit. Selling the coins I bought in the last months also with a profit, yet small, feels good. If it drops a bit more I will be in the red for this last coins and I don't want that.

I know one thing for sure and that is that the day one crypto currency is ready to go mainstream, the business is already there. Kraken added etereum in the first day and selling ether for € is as easy as selling bitcoins for €. Wouldn't take too much effort for coinbase or bitpay to add ether either.


Yes, it is possible that some day, some of the other mainstream bitcoin businesses, such as coinbase and/or circle will add some other crypto's besides bitcoin... but that day may be quite some time into the future, as far as I can tell.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-17 02:21:00 · #2189
(08-17-2015 12:37 AM)brg444 Wrote:  
(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  Shrinked balls blabber

You are unworthy of your username.

Quote:Though the biggest problem is having to wait for blocks for transactions to confirm. I had to wait more than one hour for my kraken deposit to clear. It's just a little bit too annoying. A little bit too much 2009. Outdated technology.

Your "concerns" are so 2009, it's a wonder you've held this long seeing as how little your thought process has evolved.


I have had some similar reactions in reading Satoshi's post....

Seems like there could be some apparent crazy talk going on and some inconsistencies, yet at the same time, I understand that guys have to come to their own various conclusions regarding how to proceed with their investments... even if some of the thought process seems to be somewhat rash and lacking in measured efforts going forward.
zaqan · 2015-08-17 10:09:00 · #2190
I had the chance to buy in back when it was in the mid double digits. Twenties maybe? And I never did. In fairness, it was not as easy then as it is now, however, I did get to see one of the first ATMs in 2012 or 2013. I have sold some stuff for bitcoin, so I now have like a third or half of one. I would like to do more with it, but options are limited outside the right circles.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-17 12:23:00 · #2191
(08-17-2015 10:09 AM)zaqan Wrote:  I had the chance to buy in back when it was in the mid double digits. Twenties maybe? And I never did. In fairness, it was not as easy then as it is now, however, I did get to see one of the first ATMs in 2012 or 2013. I have sold some stuff for bitcoin, so I now have like a third or half of one. I would like to do more with it, but options are limited outside the right circles.

If you know about bitcoin, then at these prices many people should be able to acquire a few bitcoins (rather than fractions of a bitcoin). NONETHELESS, it is good to invest and or hold an amount that is comfortable for you (and if that is a fraction of a coin, then so be it).

Your point about liquidity of bitcoin remains important, and in that regard, in many places in the world, there have developed more and more sources of buying and selling bitcoin or using bitcoin to buy and/or sell goods and services. In that regard, it is really easy just to create some kind of wallet or an account that denominates in bitcoin...
Satoshi · 2015-08-17 14:25:00 · #2192
(08-17-2015 12:37 AM)brg444 Wrote:  
(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  Shrinked balls blabber

You are unworthy of your username.

Quote:Though the biggest problem is having to wait for blocks for transactions to confirm. I had to wait more than one hour for my kraken deposit to clear. It's just a little bit too annoying. A little bit too much 2009. Outdated technology.

Your "concerns" are so 2009, it's a wonder you've held this long seeing as how little your thought process has evolved.

A little bit butthurt huh?

(08-17-2015 02:14 AM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  In the past nearly 9 months, there have been tests after tests after tests of bitcoin and attempts to drive the price below $200... and we had $200 for a day or even less than a day... and then there were additional tests to bring it lower than that... surely, in the last 9 months we have only spent a few days above $300, but in the near future, bitcoin is again going above $300 and again into the thousands of dollars.... maybe it will take a year or two, but it will be going up in the near future, because there really is NO other crypto currency competition that even comes in the ball park of being near to the infrastructure built around bitcoin.....

Well I used to believe the same as you, I don't anymore, that's why I sold. I would be the first one to cry if I'm proven wrong.
SunW · 2015-08-17 15:41:00 · #2193
(08-17-2015 02:25 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  
(08-17-2015 02:14 AM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  In the past nearly 9 months, there have been tests after tests after tests of bitcoin and attempts to drive the price below $200... and we had $200 for a day or even less than a day... and then there were additional tests to bring it lower than that... surely, in the last 9 months we have only spent a few days above $300, but in the near future, bitcoin is again going above $300 and again into the thousands of dollars.... maybe it will take a year or two, but it will be going up in the near future, because there really is NO other crypto currency competition that even comes in the ball park of being near to the infrastructure built around bitcoin.....

Well I used to believe the same as you, I don't anymore, that's why I sold. I would be the first one to cry if I'm proven wrong.

Yeah, there is a very low probability that bitcoin will be hitting a thousand, or more, over the next four to five years and possibly a decade. Emerging markets have entered a bear market, the CRB index is falling to 10+ year lows, rental units in many places are in high demand, along with a multitude of other factors right now. The good news is that these will present all of us with buying opportunities of a lifetime.

Still, I'm getting a 10% return on bitcoin through BitLendingClub, so I'm one of the only bitcoin non-speculators in this thread. You earn consistent returns by investing, not hoping.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-17 16:53:00 · #2194
(08-17-2015 02:25 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  
(08-17-2015 02:14 AM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  In the past nearly 9 months, there have been tests after tests after tests of bitcoin and attempts to drive the price below $200... and we had $200 for a day or even less than a day... and then there were additional tests to bring it lower than that... surely, in the last 9 months we have only spent a few days above $300, but in the near future, bitcoin is again going above $300 and again into the thousands of dollars.... maybe it will take a year or two, but it will be going up in the near future, because there really is NO other crypto currency competition that even comes in the ball park of being near to the infrastructure built around bitcoin.....

Well I used to believe the same as you, I don't anymore, that's why I sold. I would be the first one to cry if I'm proven wrong.


Fair enough. Only time will tell on this one, and watching the price - whether it takes 1 week to find out or 1 year.

I really don't have any major problem with your strategy because it is a personal choice of yours regarding how to proceed. On the other hand, as I have likely already articulated, I find your strategy to be quite a bit more extreme than my own, because you seem to be divesting about 90% of your bitcoin holdings (that is if you have decided to hold onto .7BTC). On the other hand, I do NOT know or claim to know your total diversification of investment assets, and possibly, given your circumstances, you have taken a reasonable step in the right direction for yourself.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-17 16:57:00 · #2195
(08-17-2015 03:41 PM)SunW Wrote:  
(08-17-2015 02:25 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  
(08-17-2015 02:14 AM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  In the past nearly 9 months, there have been tests after tests after tests of bitcoin and attempts to drive the price below $200... and we had $200 for a day or even less than a day... and then there were additional tests to bring it lower than that... surely, in the last 9 months we have only spent a few days above $300, but in the near future, bitcoin is again going above $300 and again into the thousands of dollars.... maybe it will take a year or two, but it will be going up in the near future, because there really is NO other crypto currency competition that even comes in the ball park of being near to the infrastructure built around bitcoin.....

Well I used to believe the same as you, I don't anymore, that's why I sold. I would be the first one to cry if I'm proven wrong.

Yeah, there is a very low probability that bitcoin will be hitting a thousand, or more, over the next four to five years and possibly a decade. Emerging markets have entered a bear market, the CRB index is falling to 10+ year lows, rental units in many places are in high demand, along with a multitude of other factors right now. The good news is that these will present all of us with buying opportunities of a lifetime.

Still, I'm getting a 10% return on bitcoin through BitLendingClub, so I'm one of the only bitcoin non-speculators in this thread. You earn consistent returns by investing, not hoping.


Again, SunW, your posts sounds like you are competing with some of the rest of us in order to be correct.

We will see about the price direction of bitcoin...

You are pretty bold to be claiming to be able to predict bitcoin prices (or NON-prices) for the next 10 years, but all the more power to you, if you happen to be correct in your assessment. I get the sense that you are talking financial mumbo-jumbo talk if you are attempting to suggest that there are a multitude of other "great" investments, other than bitcoin.
SunW · 2015-08-17 17:13:00 · #2196
(08-17-2015 04:57 PM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  Again, SunW, your posts sounds like you are competing with some of the rest of us in order to be correct.

We will see about the price direction of bitcoin...

You are pretty bold to be claiming to be able to predict bitcoin prices (or NON-prices) for the next 10 years, but all the more power to you, if you happen to be correct in your assessment. I get the sense that you are talking financial mumbo-jumbo talk if you are attempting to suggest that there are a multitude of other "great" investments, other than bitcoin.

Low probability is not a prediction. Depending where someone's positioned, it might be a hope.
BBinger · 2015-08-17 20:19:00 · #2197
So, it looks like Hearnia's XTCoin fork is dead on announcement. Not an unexpected outcome, but price on BTC/Fiat exchanges will probably remain a bit depressed these next couple weeks as people realize hard consensus means hard. The latest email that might actually be from historical Satoshi is interesting while maintaining beautiful plausible deniability. It has been a while since I've been this optimistic about the future.
zaqan · 2015-08-17 23:07:00 · #2198
Bitcoin will definitely go up in value significantly. The question is how the forking and changes will pan out. It has very small adoption right now, but grows every day, which means it will naturally have to gain value over time. We should probably be very happy that it has levelled out for the past months. Its still volatile, but not like it was previously.
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-18 03:17:00 · #2199
(08-17-2015 05:13 PM)SunW Wrote:  
(08-17-2015 04:57 PM)JayJuanGee Wrote:  Again, SunW, your posts sounds like you are competing with some of the rest of us in order to be correct.

We will see about the price direction of bitcoin...

You are pretty bold to be claiming to be able to predict bitcoin prices (or NON-prices) for the next 10 years, but all the more power to you, if you happen to be correct in your assessment. I get the sense that you are talking financial mumbo-jumbo talk if you are attempting to suggest that there are a multitude of other "great" investments, other than bitcoin.

Low probability is not a prediction. Depending where someone's positioned, it might be a hope.


Yes, hopefully we take investment actions based on our future view of probabilities, and timelines for such probable events.

There may be hope included in the calculation as well, but I see no need to denigrate another persons predictions regarding probabilities by labelling them as hope(s), even if you do NOT agree with such views on probabilities.

I have few ideas regarding the role, exactly of bitcoin in financial markets in the next 10 years, but as you know from my previous posts, currently, I have some of my portfolio diversified into such. I am expecting there to be some kind of exponential rise in BTC value in the coming couple of years, yet I am NOT opposed to reassessing my investments, if those kinds of reassessments seem appropriate based on my own particulars.

The current price action of bitcoin seems to be that there is some uncertainties regarding which way is the price going to go in the coming weeks... but that uncertainties about direction seems to have been ongoing in the BTC space for more than 6 months... a bit frustrating for some and also causing the exiting of some persons who were previous BTC bulls (Satoshi seems to be a decent example of such).
SunW · 2015-08-18 08:03:00 · #2200
(08-17-2015 08:19 PM)BBinger Wrote:  So, it looks like Hearnia's XTCoin fork is dead on announcement. Not an unexpected outcome, but price on BTC/Fiat exchanges will probably remain a bit depressed these next couple weeks as people realize hard consensus means hard. The latest email that might actually be from historical Satoshi is interesting while maintaining beautiful plausible deniability. It has been a while since I've been this optimistic about the future.

Thanks for sharing those; very interesting. I think this is good in general just because it addresses bitcoin viability with regards to controversy.

Of course, media may spin this as a negative and I expect as much. The media love to bitcoin-bash, as they all ultimately are unintentionally serving central bank's interests (we'll eventually see cash-bashing too because cash does take away some control from central bankers).
SunW · 2015-08-18 18:59:00 · #2201
I almost thought I was dreaming when I saw bitcoin hit $195 a minute ago (preev), but nope. Less than thirty minutes ago, it was $250.

I can only guess this is a reaction to the fork?

Added:

Not sure how preev is arriving at that; btc-e, bitstamp and coinbase all are above $220, while only itbit is at $208. I don't see how those weighted numbers equal $200ish; should be about $215-$220.
yolo · 2015-08-18 19:15:00 · #2202
WOAH WOAH WOAH. Bitfinex price is at 180. Bitstamp at $222. Only in the Bitcoin markets. My guess is someone put an accidental glitch trade on Bitfinex, and it pushed all the markets over. Yikes. Dang that was some volatility
Satoshi · 2015-08-18 20:27:00 · #2203
I just can't resist. I'm not really a fan of the .gif's, but sometimes they do serve a purpose.

(08-17-2015 12:37 AM)brg444 Wrote:  
(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  sell sell sell

You are unworthy of your username.


Ohshit Ohshit Ohshit


(08-17-2015 12:37 AM)brg444 Wrote:  
(08-16-2015 07:11 PM)Satoshi Wrote:  Though the biggest problem is having to wait for blocks for transactions to confirm. I had to wait more than one hour for my kraken deposit to clear. It's just a little bit too annoying. A little bit too much 2009. Outdated technology.

Your "concerns" are so 2009, it's a wonder you've held this long seeing as how little your thought process has evolved.


Laugh6
yolo · 2015-08-18 22:34:00 · #2204
(08-18-2015 07:15 PM)yolo Wrote:  WOAH WOAH WOAH. Bitfinex price is at 180. Bitstamp at $222. Only in the Bitcoin markets. My guess is someone put an accidental glitch trade on Bitfinex, and it pushed all the markets over. Yikes. Dang that was some volatility

Self quoting, my bad. But called it - technical bug is that their software couldn't support 2 market orders put in at the same time, breaking down further at high volumes.

Here's an interview with Bitfinex's CEO - https://soundcloud.com/whaleclub-bitcoin...lash-crash

Glad I used up my Coinbase's 1k insta-buy limit, I thought the price was BS, so got myself about 4+ BTC at ~$222 Vwap
I'm guessing we'll see a rebound to $250+ but who really knows. I'm also ready to convert the 4+ BTC to Ether at 0.0048 if possible, nice price. I think Ether will be better shielded from BTC's volatility in the next few days, as BTC seeks to find its equilibrium price post the panic. But then again, I may not even be able to get Ether that low as its current price is .0055+ already
JayJuanGee · 2015-08-18 23:06:00 · #2205
(08-18-2015 10:34 PM)yolo Wrote:  
(08-18-2015 07:15 PM)yolo Wrote:  WOAH WOAH WOAH. Bitfinex price is at 180. Bitstamp at $222. Only in the Bitcoin markets. My guess is someone put an accidental glitch trade on Bitfinex, and it pushed all the markets over. Yikes. Dang that was some volatility

Self quoting, my bad. But called it - technical bug is that their software couldn't support 2 market orders put in at the same time, breaking down further at high volumes.

Here's an interview with Bitfinex's CEO - https://soundcloud.com/whaleclub-bitcoin...lash-crash

Glad I used up my Coinbase's 1k insta-buy limit, I thought the price was BS, so got myself about 4+ BTC at ~$222 Vwap
I'm guessing we'll see a rebound to $250+ but who really knows. I'm also ready to convert the 4+ BTC to Ether at 0.0048 if possible, nice price. I think Ether will be better shielded from BTC's volatility in the next few days, as BTC seeks to find its equilibrium price post the panic. But then again, I may not even be able to get Ether that low as its current price is .0055+ already


Yes, it seems that in the coming days we are going to be seeing some volatility in bitcoin, and none of us can really rest assured that the downward price momentum is over.

Whether the price drop was caused by a glitch or whether these lower price points are sustainable in the coming weeks seems to remain a confidence factor, and dumpers taking advantage of downward momentum to continue to attempt to cause further downward momentum. Over the past several days (prior to today's "glitch", there had been several dump attempts - striving to bring down BTC prices... yes, those several dump attempts were NOT successful, until today's "glitch."

Surely, volatility can be exciting, and at the same time, it can make a guy nervous to wonder how far down the price can be manipulated... and then there comes a question whether prices are going to go below $200 on stamp (and other exchanges) or whether BTC prices will return above $250....
yolo · 2015-08-18 23:13:00 · #2206
@JJG

I honestly think this was just a mess up at Bitfinex, coupled with some uncertain events, a deadly potion. I don't see the dumping continuing, but again these are just predictions, nobody truly knows. I see the damages recovering, and Bitfinex risking losing its strong competitive position. That's not to say that Bitcoin at-large may be at a down trend, but I at least anticipate some recovery from yesterday's significant price drop.

On random thought, I gotta wait a month for my check to clear for this year's Roth 401k contribution. Will have a few extra grand set aside as retirement funds towards my crypto portfolio. If crypto exists by my age of 59, I'll be able to cash out those crypto holdings completely tax free. Might not be a bad time to get into more BTC, or I'm also eyeing some Ether, too.

What will crypto look like in 2050? Will it exist as Bitcoin, as something else completely, or the whole crypto movement will die altogether due to technical infeasibility? Deep stuff.
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